Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera Nacional · Argentina

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Atl. Rafaela

2-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–0

Tristan Suarez

What Janus-12 said

96%

Under 4.5 goals

97% success over 37 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 2 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 06:01.

Sealed on 29/08, 21:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 41 matches in this league
70%✓
84% success over 37 matches in this league
88%✓
57% success over 37 matches in this league
73%✗
50% success over 2 matches, all leagues
51%✗

Group 2

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	+17	58
2	Temperley	32	15	11	6	+12	56
3	Atlanta	32	17	4	11	+8	55
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	+8	54
5	Midland	32	13	9	10	+8	48
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	32	13	9	10	+4	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	+8	47
8	Colegiales	32	13	7	12	+1	46
9	San Martin S.J.	32	12	9	11	+2	45
10	San Martin T.	32	10	13	9	+3	43
11	Atl. Rafaela	32	11	9	12	-3	42
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	+3	39
13	Almagro	32	10	8	14	-10	38
14	Agropecuario	32	9	10	13	-9	37
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	-7	36
16	Patronato	32	6	16	10	-5	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	32	9	6	17	-9	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	32	5	8	19	-31	23

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals96%held
Atl. Rafaela or draw70%held
Under 3.5 goals88%held
Under 2.5 goals73%lost
Under 1.5 goals51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtl. Rafaela 11th, Tristan Suarez 1st (Group 2)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Tristan Suarez (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match69′ equaliser, Atl. Rafaela (1-1)
During the match80′ turnaround, Atl. Rafaela go ahead (2-1)
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: J. Bonifacio (Atl. Rafaela)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.3% to 97.4% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Atl. Rafaela on the left, Tristan Suarez on the right.

First half

Yellow card · M. Enrique14'
32'Yellow card · E. Wuattier
Goal · M. Guzman43'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

Substitution · G. Banuera ⇄ N. Sanchez46'
46'Substitution · A. Gonzalez ⇄ N. Cainelli
Yellow card · A. Gallo58'
61'Substitution · M. Morello ⇄ M. Pardo
61'Substitution · M. Quiroga ⇄ J. Bonifacio
Substitution · A. Gallo ⇄ M. Alvarez66'
Substitution · D. Becker ⇄ J. Beron66'
69'Goal · U. Yegros (assist : A. Obando)
72'Substitution · J. Cavallaro ⇄ F. Jourdan
Yellow card · M. Guzman73'
76'Substitution · A. Obando ⇄ M. Fernandez
80'Goal · J. Bonifacio (assist : M. Bergia)
81'Yellow card · J. Bonifacio
Substitution · M. Enrique ⇄ K. Colli85'
Substitution · N. Fernandez ⇄ D. Mastrangelo85'
Yellow card · J. Beron87'
Yellow card · B. Aguilar90+6'
90+6'Yellow card

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals96%held
Atl. Rafaela or draw70%held
Under 3.5 goals88%held
Under 2.5 goals73%lost
Under 1.5 goals51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtl. Rafaela 11th, Tristan Suarez 1st (Group 2)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Tristan Suarez (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match69′ equaliser, Atl. Rafaela (1-1)
During the match80′ turnaround, Atl. Rafaela go ahead (2-1)
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: J. Bonifacio (Atl. Rafaela)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 97.3% to 97.4% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Group 2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes