Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eliteserien · Norway

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Valerenga

1–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Fredrikstad

What Janus-12 said

81%

Valerenga or Fredrikstad

72% success over 36 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 19 %

A prediction at 81 % fails 19 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Valerenga or Fredrikstad

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 03:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 13:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

48% success over 27 matches in this league
76%✓

Eliteserien

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	-9	23
13	HamKam	21	6	5	10	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	-13	21
15	Kristiansund	21	5	4	12	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	-22	16

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Valerenga or Fredrikstad81%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 82nd minute, on the Fredrikstad side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Draw or Fredrikstad ahead at half-time76%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableValerenga 12th, Fredrikstad 8th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match52′ opening goal, Fredrikstad (0-1)
During the match76′ equaliser, Valerenga (1-1)
During the match82′ sending-off, Fredrikstad (Isak Helstad Amundsen)

What it changes

In this league, “Valerenga or Fredrikstad” goes from 72.2% to 70.3% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Valerenga on the left, Fredrikstad on the right.

First half

45'Substitution · Odin Thiago Holm ⇄ Magnus Westergaard

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Goal · Solomon Owusu (assist : Samuel Holm)52'
55'Substitution · Håvard Nielsen ⇄ Petter Strand
55'Substitution · Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson ⇄ Dennis Gjengaar
Substitution · Bryan Fiabema ⇄ Liam West61'
Substitution · Solomon Owusu ⇄ Ulrik Tillung Fredriksen69'
73'Substitution · Ghayas Zahid ⇄ Gabriel Rajkovic
76'Goal · Sebastian Jarl (assist : Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren)
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Isak Helstad Amundsen82'
Red card · Isak Helstad Amundsen82'
Substitution · Benjamin Thoresen Faraas ⇄ Fanuel Ghebreyohannes84'
84'Substitution · Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren ⇄ Elbasan Rashani
Yellow card · Fanuel Ghebreyohannes88'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Valerenga or Fredrikstad81%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 82nd minute, on the Fredrikstad side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Draw or Fredrikstad ahead at half-time76%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableValerenga 12th, Fredrikstad 8th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match52′ opening goal, Fredrikstad (0-1)
During the match76′ equaliser, Valerenga (1-1)
During the match82′ sending-off, Fredrikstad (Isak Helstad Amundsen)

What it changes

In this league, “Valerenga or Fredrikstad” goes from 72.2% to 70.3% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eliteserien

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes