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Janus-12

Eliteserien · Norway

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Sarpsborg 08 FF

1-3full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 0–1

KFUM Oslo

What Janus-12 said

76%

Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw

76% success over 33 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 04:46.

Sealed on 18/09, 18:00announced on 04/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

48% success over 33 matches in this league
50%✗
44% success over 25 matches in this league
65%✓

Eliteserien

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	-9	23
13	HamKam	21	6	5	10	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	-13	21
15	Kristiansund	21	5	4	12	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	-22	16

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw76%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Sarpsborg 08 FF had 22 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 3.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF chased the score almost all match: KFUM Oslo scored as early as the 24th minute.
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win50%lost
Draw or KFUM Oslo ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 24′ KFUM Oslo, 45′ Sarpsborg 08 FF, 45′ KFUM Oslo.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSarpsborg 08 FF 9th, KFUM Oslo 10th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, KFUM Oslo (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Sarpsborg 08 FF (1-1)
During the match45′ KFUM Oslo retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match73′ KFUM Oslo go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw” goes from 75.8% to 73.5% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sarpsborg 08 FF on the left, KFUM Oslo on the right.

First half

Goal · Bjorn Martin Kristensen (assist : Martin Tangen Vinjor)24'
34'Yellow card · Bjorn Utvik
Yellow card · Bjorn Martin Kristensen42'
45'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Claus Babo Niyukuri
45'Substitution · Claus Babo Niyukuri ⇄ Eirik Wichne
45'Substitution · Victor Emanuel Halvorsen ⇄ Noa Williams
45'Substitution · Anders Hiim ⇄ Peter Reinhardsen
45+1'Penalty goal · Daniel Seland Karlsbakk
Goal · Hakon Helland Hoseth (assist : Jonas Lange Hjorth)45+2'

Half-time1 - 2

Second half

Yellow card · Martin Tangen Vinjor47'
Substitution · Jonas Lange Hjorth ⇄ Sander Hansen Sjokvist56'
Substitution · Martin Tangen Vinjor ⇄ David Hickson Gyedu57'
68'Substitution · Olaus Jair Skarsem ⇄ Andreas Hansen
Substitution · Bjorn Martin Kristensen ⇄ Julian Bakkeli Gonstad73'
Substitution · Hakon Rosten ⇄ Brage Tobiassen73'
Goal · Julian Bakkeli Gonstad (assist : Bilal Njie)73'
74'Substitution · Aimar Sher ⇄ Sigurd Rosted
Substitution · Bilal Njie ⇄ Amin Nouri85'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw76%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Sarpsborg 08 FF had 22 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 3.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF chased the score almost all match: KFUM Oslo scored as early as the 24th minute.
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win50%lost
Draw or KFUM Oslo ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 24′ KFUM Oslo, 45′ Sarpsborg 08 FF, 45′ KFUM Oslo.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSarpsborg 08 FF 9th, KFUM Oslo 10th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, KFUM Oslo (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Sarpsborg 08 FF (1-1)
During the match45′ KFUM Oslo retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match73′ KFUM Oslo go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw” goes from 75.8% to 73.5% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eliteserien

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes