Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eliteserien · Norway

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Molde

1–2full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 1–0

Aalesund

What Janus-12 said

88%

Molde or draw

74% success over 34 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 12 %

A prediction at 88 % fails 12 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Molde or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 17:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

50% success over 4 matches in this league
56%✗
47% success over 34 matches in this league
72%✗

Eliteserien

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	-9	23
13	HamKam	21	6	5	10	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	-13	21
15	Kristiansund	21	5	4	12	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	-22	16

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Molde or draw88%lost
- Molde chased the score almost all match: Aalesund scored as early as the 7th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Molde had 16 shots against 12, for 1 goal against 2.
Molde ahead at half-time56%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 7′ Aalesund, 44′ Aalesund.
Molde to win72%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMolde 4th, Aalesund 14th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Aalesund (0-1)
During the match44′ Aalesund go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match59′ sending-off, Aalesund (Luca Podlech)
During the match82′ last goal, Molde

What it changes

In this league, “Molde or draw” goes from 73.5% to 71.4% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Molde on the left, Aalesund on the right.

First half

Goal · Mathias Christensen (assist : Uba Charles Nwokoma)7'
Yellow card · Marius Andresen32'
Goal · Isak Gabriel Skotheim44'
45'Substitution · Trent Kone-Doherty ⇄ Caleb Sery
45'Substitution · Oskar Spiten Nysaeter ⇄ Mathias Lovik
45'Substitution · Samukele Kabini ⇄ Mats Møller Dæhli

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

47'Yellow card · Jalal Abdullai
47'Yellow card · Sindre Tjelmeland
VAR: Red card cancelled · Luca Podlech59'
Yellow card · Luca Podlech60'
70'Yellow card · Niklas Ödegard
71'Substitution · Martin Linnes ⇄ Kristian Lonebu
76'VAR: Penalty cancelled · Jalal Abdullai
Substitution · Marcus Reed ⇄ Elias Heggland Myrlid79'
Substitution · Isak Gabriel Skotheim ⇄ Sander Erik Kartum79'
Substitution · Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen ⇄ Simen Vatne Haram79'
79'Substitution · Fredrik Kristensen Dahl ⇄ Sander Hestetun Kilen
82'Goal · Kristian Lonebu (assist : Emil Breivik)
Substitution · Endre Osenbroch ⇄ Tobias Leikanger86'
Yellow card · Mathias Christensen90+7'
90+10'Yellow card · Mathias Lovik

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Molde or draw88%lost
- Molde chased the score almost all match: Aalesund scored as early as the 7th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Molde had 16 shots against 12, for 1 goal against 2.
Molde ahead at half-time56%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 7′ Aalesund, 44′ Aalesund.
Molde to win72%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMolde 4th, Aalesund 14th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Aalesund (0-1)
During the match44′ Aalesund go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match59′ sending-off, Aalesund (Luca Podlech)
During the match82′ last goal, Molde

What it changes

In this league, “Molde or draw” goes from 73.5% to 71.4% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eliteserien

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes