Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eliteserien · Norway

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Lillestrom

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Valerenga

What Janus-12 said

79%

Lillestrom or Valerenga

68% success over 25 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Lillestrom or Valerenga

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 04:54.

Sealed on 12/09, 15:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

47% success over 19 matches in this league
60%✗
40% success over 25 matches in this league
55%✓

Eliteserien

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	-9	23
13	HamKam	21	6	5	10	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	-13	21
15	Kristiansund	21	5	4	12	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	-22	16

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lillestrom or Valerenga79%held
Draw or Valerenga ahead at half-time60%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 25′ Lillestrom.
Lillestrom to win55%held
- Lillestrom took the lead in the 25th minute and never let it go.
- Lillestrom took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLillestrom 6th, Valerenga 12th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Lillestrom (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ Lillestrom go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Lillestrom or Valerenga” goes from 68% to 69.2% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lillestrom on the left, Valerenga on the right.

First half

25'Goal · Ruben Gabrielsen (assist : Frederik Elkaer)
29'Yellow card · Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Yellow card · Sebastian Jarl41'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Dennis Gjengaar ⇄ Gabriel Rajkovic58'
Substitution · Ghayas Zahid ⇄ Odin Thiago Holm58'
Yellow card · Håkon Sjåtil70'
Substitution · Carl Lange ⇄ Petter Strand70'
Substitution · Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren ⇄ Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter70'
73'Substitution · Daniel Bassi ⇄ Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil
73'Substitution · Fredrik Gulbrandsen ⇄ Thomas Lehne Olsen
80'Yellow card · Frederik Elkaer
Substitution · Mathias Grundetjern ⇄ Håvard Nielsen84'
86'Substitution · Eric Kitolano ⇄ Filip Ottosson
90+4'Substitution · Yildren Ibrahimaj ⇄ Stian Kristiansen
Yellow card · Gabriel Rajkovic90+4'
Yellow card · Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter90+5'
90+6'Goal · Thomas Lehne Olsen

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lillestrom or Valerenga79%held
Draw or Valerenga ahead at half-time60%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 25′ Lillestrom.
Lillestrom to win55%held
- Lillestrom took the lead in the 25th minute and never let it go.
- Lillestrom took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLillestrom 6th, Valerenga 12th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Lillestrom (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ Lillestrom go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Lillestrom or Valerenga” goes from 68% to 69.2% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eliteserien

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes