Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eliteserien · Norway

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Fredrikstad

1–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Sarpsborg 08 FF

What Janus-12 said

78%

Fredrikstad or draw

71% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Fredrikstad or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 13/09, 18:15announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

46% success over 28 matches in this league
52%✗
43% success over 21 matches in this league
61%✓

Eliteserien

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	-9	23
13	HamKam	21	6	5	10	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	-13	21
15	Kristiansund	21	5	4	12	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	-22	16

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Fredrikstad or draw78%held
- Fredrikstad took control early: opening goal in the 19th minute.
- Fredrikstad were never behind.
Fredrikstad to win52%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Fredrikstad had 14 shots against 6, for 1 goal against 1.
- Fredrikstad chased the score almost all match: Sarpsborg 08 FF scored as early as the 28th minute.
Draw or Sarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time61%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 19′ Fredrikstad, 28′ Sarpsborg 08 FF.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFredrikstad 8th, Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Fredrikstad (1-0)
During the match28′ equaliser, Sarpsborg 08 FF (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Fredrikstad or draw” goes from 71.4% to 72.4% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Fredrikstad on the left, Sarpsborg 08 FF on the right.

First half

19'Goal · Max Nilsson (assist : Isak Helstad Amundsen)
Substitution · Sander Johan Christiansen ⇄ Michael Opoku20'
Goal · Olaus Jair Skarsem (assist : Sondre Sorlie)28'
Substitution · Michael Opoku ⇄ Andreas Hansen45'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

61'Substitution · Bryan Fiabema ⇄ Salim Laghzaoui
61'Substitution · Benjamin Thoresen Faraas ⇄ Liam West
61'Substitution · Solomon Owusu ⇄ Simen Rafn
Substitution · Claus Babo Niyukuri ⇄ Peter Reinhardsen68'
77'Substitution · Samuel Holm ⇄ Leonard Owusu
87'Yellow card · Max Nilsson
89'Yellow card · Simen Rafn
Substitution · Sondre Sorlie ⇄ Noa Williams90'

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Fredrikstad or draw78%held
- Fredrikstad took control early: opening goal in the 19th minute.
- Fredrikstad were never behind.
Fredrikstad to win52%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Fredrikstad had 14 shots against 6, for 1 goal against 1.
- Fredrikstad chased the score almost all match: Sarpsborg 08 FF scored as early as the 28th minute.
Draw or Sarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time61%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 19′ Fredrikstad, 28′ Sarpsborg 08 FF.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFredrikstad 8th, Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Fredrikstad (1-0)
During the match28′ equaliser, Sarpsborg 08 FF (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Fredrikstad or draw” goes from 71.4% to 72.4% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eliteserien

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes