Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eliteserien · Norway

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Viking

2-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–0

Aalesund

What Janus-12 said

60%

Viking ahead at half-time

65% success over 127 matches, all leagues

✗ Fell into the 40 %

A prediction at 60 % fails 40 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Viking ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 29/08, 17:00announced on 15/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

56% success over 9 matches in this league
91%✓
44% success over 9 matches in this league
79%✓

Eliteserien

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	-9	23
13	HamKam	21	6	5	10	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	-13	21
15	Kristiansund	21	5	4	12	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	-22	16

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Viking ahead at half-time60%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 4′ Aalesund.
Viking or draw91%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Viking against 4.
Viking to win79%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableViking 1st, Aalesund 14th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Aalesund (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match73′ equaliser, Viking (1-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Viking go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Viking ahead at half-time” goes from 65.4% to 64.8% success rate, over 128 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Viking on the left, Aalesund on the right.

First half

Goal · U. Charles (assist : E. Osenbroch)4'
Yellow card · M. Christensen33'
Yellow card · O. Gudmundsson40'
Substitution · H. Hammer ⇄ D. Johannsson45+2'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

62'Substitution · A. Cosic ⇄ R. Postema
62'Substitution · J. Bell ⇄ S. Kvia-Egeskog
71'Substitution · H. J. Haugen ⇄ N. Fuglestad
Yellow card · M. Reed72'
73'Goal · S. Kvia-Egeskog
Substitution · E. Osenbroch ⇄ E. Myrlid81'
83'Substitution · V. Auklend ⇄ V. Vevatne
83'Substitution · T. Moi ⇄ H. Heggheim
Yellow card · D. Johannsson85'
90+1'Yellow card · K. Askildsen
90+4'Goal · S. Kvia-Egeskog (assist : Z. Tripic)

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Viking ahead at half-time60%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 4′ Aalesund.
Viking or draw91%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Viking against 4.
Viking to win79%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableViking 1st, Aalesund 14th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Aalesund (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match73′ equaliser, Viking (1-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Viking go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Viking ahead at half-time” goes from 65.4% to 64.8% success rate, over 128 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eliteserien

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes