Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Eliteserien · Norway

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Valerenga

3-4full timeHT 3–4 · 2H 0–0

Molde

What Janus-12 said

77%

Valerenga or Molde

56% success over 9 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Valerenga or Molde

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 29/08, 15:00announced on 15/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

20% success over 5 matches in this league
66%✓

Eliteserien

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	-9	23
13	HamKam	21	6	5	10	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	-13	21
15	Kristiansund	21	5	4	12	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	-22	16

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Valerenga or Molde77%held
Draw or Molde ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-4 at half-time, 11′ Molde, 19′ Valerenga, 21′ Valerenga, 30′ Molde, 40′ Molde, 45′ Molde, 45′ Valerenga.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableValerenga 12th, Molde 4th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Molde (0-1)
During the match19′ equaliser, Valerenga (1-1)
During the match21′ turnaround, Valerenga go ahead (2-1)
During the match30′ equaliser, Molde (2-2)
During the match40′ turnaround, Molde go ahead (2-3)
During the match45′ turnaround, Molde go ahead (2-4)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-4

What it changes

In this league, “Valerenga or Molde” goes from 55.6% to 60% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Valerenga on the left, Molde on the right.

First half

Goal · E. Hestad (assist : E. Breivik)11'
19'Goal · L. Haren (assist : G. Rajkovic)
21'Goal · M. Grundetjern
Substitution · E. Hestad ⇄ C. Zady29'
Goal · S. Granaas (assist : O. Spiten-Nysaeter)30'
Goal · J. Abdullai (assist : A. Posiadala)40'
Goal · C. Zady45'
45+3'Goal · C. Lange (assist : K. Finnsson)

Half-time3 - 4

Second half

55'Substitution · G. Rajkovic ⇄ P. Strand
Substitution · O. Spiten-Nysaeter ⇄ M. Daehli61'
Substitution · M. Linnes ⇄ V. Bender61'
Yellow card · E. Breivik70'
75'Yellow card · A. Olsen
Yellow card · S. Granaas76'
77'Substitution · L. Haren ⇄ O. Saeter
77'Substitution · M. Westergaard ⇄ G. Zahid
78'Substitution · I. Nasberg ⇄ K. Tshiembe
78'Yellow card · M. Grundetjern
79'Yellow card · I. Nasberg
Substitution · S. Granaas ⇄ N. Odegard80'
Substitution · J. Abdullai ⇄ T. Kone-Doherty80'
88'Substitution · C. Lange ⇄ O. T. Holm

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Valerenga or Molde77%held
Draw or Molde ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 3-4 at half-time, 11′ Molde, 19′ Valerenga, 21′ Valerenga, 30′ Molde, 40′ Molde, 45′ Molde, 45′ Valerenga.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableValerenga 12th, Molde 4th (Eliteserien)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Molde (0-1)
During the match19′ equaliser, Valerenga (1-1)
During the match21′ turnaround, Valerenga go ahead (2-1)
During the match30′ equaliser, Molde (2-2)
During the match40′ turnaround, Molde go ahead (2-3)
During the match45′ turnaround, Molde go ahead (2-4)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-4

What it changes

In this league, “Valerenga or Molde” goes from 55.6% to 60% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eliteserien

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes