Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

USL Championship · USA

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Tampa Bay Rowdies

1-2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

Miami FC

What Janus-12 said

84%

Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw

77% success over 94 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 16 %

A prediction at 84 % fails 16 % of the time: it happened.

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 00:30announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

48% success over 94 matches in this league
63%✗

USL Championship

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive	27	14	5	8	+11	47
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	27	15	7	5	+21	52
2	Detroit City	27	13	8	6	+13	47
2	New Mexico United	27	13	7	7	+9	46
3	Charleston Battery	26	14	4	8	+21	46
3	Sacramento Republic	27	11	11	5	+12	44
4	Lexington	27	13	4	10	+16	43
4	Hartford Athletic	26	9	12	5	+3	39
5	Tulsa Roughnecks	27	11	9	7	+7	42
5	Rhode Island	26	11	5	10	+10	38
6	Colorado Springs	27	11	7	9	+3	40
6	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	27	11	5	11	+1	38
7	Louisville City	26	10	7	9	+1	37
7	Orange County SC	27	10	9	8	-6	39
8	San Antonio	27	9	11	7	0	38
8	Miami FC	28	9	9	10	-7	36
9	Las Vegas Lights	27	10	6	11	-3	36
9	Indy Eleven	27	9	7	11	0	34
10	Loudoun United	26	4	12	10	-12	24
10	Oakland Roots	27	8	10	9	-2	34
11	Phoenix Rising	27	8	9	10	-4	33
11	Birmingham Legion	26	4	11	11	-7	23
12	Brooklyn	27	4	6	17	-28	18
12	Monterey Bay	27	5	6	16	-18	21
13	Sporting JAX	27	3	5	19	-41	14

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw84%lost
- Tampa Bay Rowdies chased the score almost all match: Miami FC scored as early as the 5th minute.
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTampa Bay Rowdies 1st, Miami FC 8th (USL Championship)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Miami FC (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match54′ equaliser, Tampa Bay Rowdies (1-1)
During the match60′ Miami FC retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw” goes from 76.6% to 75.8% success rate, over 95 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,361 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Tampa Bay Rowdies on the left, Miami FC on the right.

First half

Goal · A. Rocha (assist : A. Milesi)5'
45+3'Yellow card · D. Casciato

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

Substitution · M. Tunbridge ⇄ D. Mello51'
54'Goal · C. Ostrem (assist : N. Dossantos)
Substitution · R. Tori ⇄ T. Musto58'
Goal · R. Da Costa (assist : A. Rocha)60'
63'Substitution · B. Schaefer ⇄ Pedro Becker
63'Substitution · M. Micaletto ⇄ S. Cruz
63'Substitution · L. Perez ⇄ G. Vivi Quesada
Substitution · R. Da Costa ⇄ Tulu72'
74'Substitution · L. Hilton ⇄ E. Conway
80'Substitution · L. Wyke ⇄ L. Archer
Substitution · B. Ndiaye ⇄ A. Calfo82'
Substitution · M. Romero ⇄ J. Levin83'
90+9'Yellow card · C. Ostrem

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw84%lost
- Tampa Bay Rowdies chased the score almost all match: Miami FC scored as early as the 5th minute.
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTampa Bay Rowdies 1st, Miami FC 8th (USL Championship)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Miami FC (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match54′ equaliser, Tampa Bay Rowdies (1-1)
During the match60′ Miami FC retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw” goes from 76.6% to 75.8% success rate, over 95 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,361 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

USL Championship

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes