Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

USL Championship · USA

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Hartford Athletic

3-2full timeHT 2–2 · 2H 1–0

Birmingham Legion

What Janus-12 said

80%

Hartford Athletic or draw

89% success over 27 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Hartford Athletic or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 15:43.

Sealed on 30/08, 00:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

59% success over 27 matches in this league
56%✓

USL Championship

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive	27	14	5	8	+11	47
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	27	15	7	5	+21	52
2	Detroit City	27	13	8	6	+13	47
2	New Mexico United	27	13	7	7	+9	46
3	Charleston Battery	26	14	4	8	+21	46
3	Sacramento Republic	27	11	11	5	+12	44
4	Lexington	27	13	4	10	+16	43
4	Hartford Athletic	26	9	12	5	+3	39
5	Tulsa Roughnecks	27	11	9	7	+7	42
5	Rhode Island	26	11	5	10	+10	38
6	Colorado Springs	27	11	7	9	+3	40
6	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	27	11	5	11	+1	38
7	Louisville City	26	10	7	9	+1	37
7	Orange County SC	27	10	9	8	-6	39
8	San Antonio	27	9	11	7	0	38
8	Miami FC	28	9	9	10	-7	36
9	Las Vegas Lights	27	10	6	11	-3	36
9	Indy Eleven	27	9	7	11	0	34
10	Loudoun United	26	4	12	10	-12	24
10	Oakland Roots	27	8	10	9	-2	34
11	Phoenix Rising	27	8	9	10	-4	33
11	Birmingham Legion	26	4	11	11	-7	23
12	Brooklyn	27	4	6	17	-28	18
12	Monterey Bay	27	5	6	16	-18	21
13	Sporting JAX	27	3	5	19	-41	14

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Hartford Athletic or draw80%held
Hartford Athletic to win56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHartford Athletic 4th, Birmingham Legion 11th (USL Championship)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Birmingham Legion (0-1)
During the match39′ Birmingham Legion go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match45′ Hartford Athletic come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match74′ turnaround, Hartford Athletic go ahead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Hartford Athletic or draw” goes from 88.9% to 89.3% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Hartford Athletic on the left, Birmingham Legion on the right.

First half

Goal · R. Williams (assist : D. McCartney)21'
26'Yellow card · S. Anderson
Yellow card · S. Tregarthen34'
Goal · R. Williams (assist : P. Vassell)39'
42'Goal · B. Coffey (assist : S. Anderson)
45+3'Goal · M. Ngalina (assist : J. Moreira)

Half-time2 - 2

Second half

Substitution · S. Tregarthen ⇄ S. Ngoma46'
Substitution · Paterson AJ ⇄ H. Diop46'
Missed penalty · P. Vassell (assist : P. Vassell)61'
Substitution · R. Williams ⇄ R. Damus62'
70'Yellow card · B. Coffey
Yellow card · G. Diarbian73'
73'Substitution · A. Williams ⇄ A. Taofeek
74'Goal · J. Scarlett (assist : S. Anderson)
Substitution · G. Diarbian ⇄ T. Pasher78'
Substitution · P. Vassell ⇄ A. Daley78'
82'Substitution · B. Coffey ⇄ B. Njie
89'Yellow card · B. Njie
90+4'Substitution · M. Ngalina ⇄ T. Presthus
Yellow card · S. Ngoma90+6'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Hartford Athletic or draw80%held
Hartford Athletic to win56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHartford Athletic 4th, Birmingham Legion 11th (USL Championship)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Birmingham Legion (0-1)
During the match39′ Birmingham Legion go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match45′ Hartford Athletic come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match74′ turnaround, Hartford Athletic go ahead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Hartford Athletic or draw” goes from 88.9% to 89.3% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

USL Championship

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes