Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

USL Championship · USA

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

El Paso Locomotive

4-1full timeHT 3–1 · 2H 1–0

Loudoun United

What Janus-12 said

78%

El Paso Locomotive or draw

86% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 23:01.

Sealed on 30/08, 02:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

57% success over 28 matches in this league
52%✓

USL Championship

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive	27	14	5	8	+11	47
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	27	15	7	5	+21	52
2	Detroit City	27	13	8	6	+13	47
2	New Mexico United	27	13	7	7	+9	46
3	Charleston Battery	26	14	4	8	+21	46
3	Sacramento Republic	27	11	11	5	+12	44
4	Lexington	27	13	4	10	+16	43
4	Hartford Athletic	26	9	12	5	+3	39
5	Tulsa Roughnecks	27	11	9	7	+7	42
5	Rhode Island	26	11	5	10	+10	38
6	Colorado Springs	27	11	7	9	+3	40
6	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	27	11	5	11	+1	38
7	Louisville City	26	10	7	9	+1	37
7	Orange County SC	27	10	9	8	-6	39
8	San Antonio	27	9	11	7	0	38
8	Miami FC	28	9	9	10	-7	36
9	Las Vegas Lights	27	10	6	11	-3	36
9	Indy Eleven	27	9	7	11	0	34
10	Loudoun United	26	4	12	10	-12	24
10	Oakland Roots	27	8	10	9	-2	34
11	Phoenix Rising	27	8	9	10	-4	33
11	Birmingham Legion	26	4	11	11	-7	23
12	Brooklyn	27	4	6	17	-28	18
12	Monterey Bay	27	5	6	16	-18	21
13	Sporting JAX	27	3	5	19	-41	14

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

El Paso Locomotive or draw78%held
- El Paso Locomotive took the lead in the 30th minute and never let it go.
- El Paso Locomotive took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.
El Paso Locomotive to win52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEl Paso Locomotive 1st, Loudoun United 10th (USL Championship)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, El Paso Locomotive (1-0)
During the match17′ equaliser, Loudoun United (1-1)
During the match30′ El Paso Locomotive retake the lead (2-1)
During the match40′ El Paso Locomotive go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match90′ last goal, El Paso Locomotive
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: C. Sainte (El Paso Locomotive)

What it changes

In this league, “El Paso Locomotive or draw” goes from 85.7% to 86.2% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

El Paso Locomotive on the left, Loudoun United on the right.

First half

5'Goal · R. Rubin
Goal · A. Aboukoura (assist : R. Aman)17'
30'Goal · R. Rubin
40'Penalty goal · R. Rubin

Half-time3 - 1

Second half

46'Substitution · D. Gomez ⇄ R. Coronado
Substitution · A. Watts ⇄ Marcos Dias60'
65'Yellow card · A. Mendez
71'Substitution · N. Cardona ⇄ K. Hoban
71'Substitution · A. Moreno ⇄ R. Avila
Substitution · J. Murphy ⇄ S. Young71'
71'Substitution · A. Mendez ⇄ G. Diaz
Substitution · P. Niyongabire ⇄ C. Torres72'
Substitution · A. Aboukoura ⇄ G. Lomtadze79'
79'Substitution · E. Calvillo ⇄ C. Sainte
Substitution · K. Awuah ⇄ N. Adnan79'
85'Yellow card · A. Ortiz
90+1'Goal · C. Sainte (assist : Gabriel Torres)

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

El Paso Locomotive or draw78%held
- El Paso Locomotive took the lead in the 30th minute and never let it go.
- El Paso Locomotive took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.
El Paso Locomotive to win52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEl Paso Locomotive 1st, Loudoun United 10th (USL Championship)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, El Paso Locomotive (1-0)
During the match17′ equaliser, Loudoun United (1-1)
During the match30′ El Paso Locomotive retake the lead (2-1)
During the match40′ El Paso Locomotive go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match90′ last goal, El Paso Locomotive
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: C. Sainte (El Paso Locomotive)

What it changes

In this league, “El Paso Locomotive or draw” goes from 85.7% to 86.2% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

USL Championship

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes