Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Profesional (Argentina) · Argentina

full time

Monday, 21 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 21 September at 01:30. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Velez Sarsfield

3–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–2

Tigre

What Janus-12 said

82%

Velez Sarsfield or draw

72% success over 94 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Velez Sarsfield or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 06:30.

Sealed on 21/09, 01:30announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

40% success over 94 matches in this league
55%✓

Clausura - Group A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Instituto	11	8	1	2	+9	25
2	Velez Sarsfield	11	5	6	0	+6	21
3	Defensa y Justicia	11	6	3	2	+5	21
4	Boca Juniors	11	5	5	1	+6	20
5	Lanus	11	5	2	4	+4	17
6	Newells Old Boys	11	4	5	2	+3	17
7	Gimnasia M.	11	5	2	4	+2	17
8	Independiente	11	5	2	4	-1	17
9	Estudiantes L.P.	11	4	1	6	+2	13
10	Union de Santa Fe	11	4	1	6	-2	13
11	Dep. Riestra	11	2	5	4	-2	11
12	San Lorenzo	11	3	2	6	-7	11
13	Platense	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Central Cordoba	11	2	3	6	-6	9
15	Talleres Cordoba	11	2	2	7	-7	8

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Velez Sarsfield or draw82%held
- Velez Sarsfield took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.
- Velez Sarsfield took control early: opening goal in the 14th minute.
Velez Sarsfield to win55%held

What happened

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Velez Sarsfield (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ equaliser, Tigre (1-1)
During the match67′ Velez Sarsfield retake the lead (2-1)
During the match87′ equaliser, Tigre (2-2)
Line-up87′ the goal came off the bench: J. Domina (Tigre)
During the match89′ Velez Sarsfield retake the lead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Velez Sarsfield or draw” goes from 72.3% to 72.6% success rate, over 95 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Velez Sarsfield on the left, Tigre on the right.

First half

14'Goal · R. Martinez (assist : M. Pellegrini)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · N. Banegas ⇄ F. Alvarez46'
Goal · I. Russo (assist : J. Saralegui)57'
Substitution · V. Moreno ⇄ M. Garay59'
Substitution · T. Serrago ⇄ J. Domina59'
67'Goal · J. Policella (assist : J. Garcia)
Substitution · P. Martinez ⇄ S. Gonzalez68'
74'Substitution · M. Lanzini ⇄ D. Valdes
74'Substitution · J. Policella ⇄ S. Escobar
76'Substitution · L. Robertone ⇄ L. Feler
Goal · J. Domina87'
89'Goal · R. Martinez (assist : D. Valdes)
90+1'Substitution · R. Martinez ⇄ D. Godoy

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Velez Sarsfield or draw82%held
- Velez Sarsfield took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.
- Velez Sarsfield took control early: opening goal in the 14th minute.
Velez Sarsfield to win55%held

What happened

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Velez Sarsfield (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ equaliser, Tigre (1-1)
During the match67′ Velez Sarsfield retake the lead (2-1)
During the match87′ equaliser, Tigre (2-2)
Line-up87′ the goal came off the bench: J. Domina (Tigre)
During the match89′ Velez Sarsfield retake the lead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Velez Sarsfield or draw” goes from 72.3% to 72.6% success rate, over 95 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Clausura - Group A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes