Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga Profesional (Argentina) · Argentina

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 23:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

River Plate

1–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

Huracan

What Janus-12 said

81%

River Plate or draw

72% success over 88 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 19 %

A prediction at 81 % fails 19 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: River Plate or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:30.

Sealed on 19/09, 23:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

39% success over 88 matches in this league
53%✗

Apertura - Group B

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	+14	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	+10	29
3	Argentinos Jrs	16	8	5	3	+4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	+4	28
5	Belgrano	16	7	5	4	+4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	+4	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	0	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	+3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	-7	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	-2	18
13	Atl. Tucuman	16	3	5	8	-5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	-13	8
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	-19	5

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

River Plate or draw81%lost
- The chances were on the right side: 1.62 expected goals for River Plate against 0.23, and the score says the opposite.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: River Plate had 20 shots against 7, for 1 goal against 2.
River Plate to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRiver Plate 2nd, Huracan 7th (Apertura - Group B)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Huracan (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match65′ equaliser, River Plate (1-1)
During the match80′ Huracan retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “River Plate or draw” goes from 71.6% to 70.8% success rate, over 89 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

River Plate on the left, Huracan on the right.

First half

6'Substitution · T. Almada ⇄ L. Beltran
Goal · O. Cortes9'
Yellow card · M. Palazzo36'
36'Substitution · T. Andrada ⇄ M. Arambarri

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Substitution · F. Kalinger ⇄ J. Bisanz62'
65'Goal · T. Galvan (assist : A. Correa)
Yellow card · C. Ibanez67'
Substitution · L. Gil ⇄ L. Mora75'
Goal · L. Blondel (assist : O. Cortes)80'
81'Substitution · M. Acuna ⇄ F. Ortega
Yellow card · J. Bisanz86'
Substitution · J. Caicedo ⇄ L. Lescano88'
Substitution · F. F. Waller Martiarena ⇄ H. Nervo88'
Substitution · O. Cortes ⇄ E. Ojeda88'
90+5'Yellow card · G. Montiel

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

River Plate or draw81%lost
- The chances were on the right side: 1.62 expected goals for River Plate against 0.23, and the score says the opposite.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: River Plate had 20 shots against 7, for 1 goal against 2.
River Plate to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRiver Plate 2nd, Huracan 7th (Apertura - Group B)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Huracan (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match65′ equaliser, River Plate (1-1)
During the match80′ Huracan retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “River Plate or draw” goes from 71.6% to 70.8% success rate, over 89 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Apertura - Group B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes