Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier Division (Ireland) · Ireland

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Waterford

1–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Dundalk

What Janus-12 said

77%

Waterford or draw

79% success over 14 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Waterford or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 11/09, 19:45announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

36% success over 14 matches in this league
52%✗

Premier Division

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	St. Patricks	32	17	8	7	+27	59
2	Bohemians	32	17	8	7	+19	59
3	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	+18	59
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	+3	41
5	Dundalk	33	10	11	12	-5	41
6	Shelbourne	32	9	13	10	-3	40
7	Galway	32	9	11	12	-6	38
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	-10	34
9	Drogheda	32	8	10	14	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	-30	23

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Waterford or draw77%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Waterford against 2.
Waterford to win52%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Waterford had 17 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 1.
- Waterford chased the score almost all match: Dundalk scored as early as the 21st minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWaterford 8th, Dundalk 5th (Premier Division)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Dundalk (0-1)
During the match37′ equaliser, Waterford (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Waterford or draw” goes from 78.6% to 80% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Waterford on the left, Dundalk on the right.

First half

Own goal · John Mahon21'
Yellow card · Keith Buckley31'
37'Goal · H. Cann (assist : Bernardo Piexoto Couto)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · shane tracey56'
Substitution · shane tracey ⇄ Bobby Burns60'
Substitution · John Ross Wilson ⇄ Harvey Warren61'
Substitution · leonardo gaxha ⇄ Declan McDaid61'
Substitution · Keith Buckley ⇄ Aodh Dervin61'
Yellow card · Harvey Warren65'
Substitution · Egor Vassenin ⇄ Harry Groome72'
78'Yellow card · Evan McLaughlin
Yellow card · ronan teahan90'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Waterford or draw77%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for Waterford against 2.
Waterford to win52%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Waterford had 17 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 1.
- Waterford chased the score almost all match: Dundalk scored as early as the 21st minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWaterford 8th, Dundalk 5th (Premier Division)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Dundalk (0-1)
During the match37′ equaliser, Waterford (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “Waterford or draw” goes from 78.6% to 80% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier Division

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes