Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier Division (Ireland) · Ireland

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 14 September at 19:45. Originally planned for Friday 4 September at 19:45.

Change noted on 03/09.

Waterford

2–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–1

Derry City

What Janus-12 said

75%

Waterford or draw

84% success over 19 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Waterford or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 23:30.

Sealed on 14/09, 19:45announced on 22/08/2026, 23 days before kick-off

Premier Division

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	St. Patricks	32	17	8	7	+27	59
2	Bohemians	32	17	8	7	+19	59
3	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	+18	59
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	+3	41
5	Dundalk	33	10	11	12	-5	41
6	Shelbourne	32	9	13	10	-3	40
7	Galway	32	9	11	12	-6	38
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	-10	34
9	Drogheda	32	8	10	14	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	-30	23

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Waterford or draw75%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for Waterford against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWaterford 8th, Derry City 4th (Premier Division)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Derry City (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Waterford (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match51′ Derry City retake the lead (1-2)
During the match57′ equaliser, Waterford (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Waterford or draw” goes from 84.2% to 85% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Waterford on the left, Derry City on the right.

First half

Goal · Adam O'Reilly (assist : James Clarke)9'
Yellow card · Adam O'Reilly11'
Yellow card · James Clarke45'
45'Goal · Evan McLaughlin

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Goal · Michael Duffy (assist : Brandon·Fleming)51'
57'Goal · Padraig Amond (assist : Bernardo Piexoto Couto)
Yellow card · Liam Boyce64'
64'Substitution · Evan McLaughlin ⇄ Sam Glenfield
64'Substitution · Noah Mawene ⇄ Luke Heeney
64'Substitution · C.Noonan ⇄ Dean Mcmenamy
73'Yellow card · Sam Glenfield
Substitution · James Clarke ⇄ Ellis Chapman73'
Yellow card · Darragh Burns74'
Substitution · Darragh Burns ⇄ Kévin Santos76'
Yellow card · Mark Gerard Connolly88'
Yellow card · Ciaran Grogan88'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Waterford or draw75%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for Waterford against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWaterford 8th, Derry City 4th (Premier Division)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Derry City (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Waterford (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match51′ Derry City retake the lead (1-2)
During the match57′ equaliser, Waterford (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Waterford or draw” goes from 84.2% to 85% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier Division

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes