Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier Division (Ireland) · Ireland

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 14 September at 19:45. Originally planned for Friday 4 September at 19:45.

Change noted on 03/09.

Shelbourne

1–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–1

Drogheda

What Janus-12 said

78%

Shelbourne or draw

84% success over 19 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 22 %

A prediction at 78 % fails 22 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Shelbourne or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 23:30.

Sealed on 14/09, 19:45announced on 22/08/2026, 23 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

37% success over 19 matches in this league
53%✗

Premier Division

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	St. Patricks	32	17	8	7	+27	59
2	Bohemians	32	17	8	7	+19	59
3	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	+18	59
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	+3	41
5	Dundalk	33	10	11	12	-5	41
6	Shelbourne	32	9	13	10	-3	40
7	Galway	32	9	11	12	-6	38
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	-10	34
9	Drogheda	32	8	10	14	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	-30	23

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Shelbourne or draw78%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Shelbourne had 21 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 2.
Shelbourne to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableShelbourne 6th, Drogheda 9th (Premier Division)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Shelbourne (1-0)
During the match40′ equaliser, Drogheda (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match57′ turnaround, Drogheda go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Shelbourne or draw” goes from 84.2% to 80% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Shelbourne on the left, Drogheda on the right.

First half

10'Substitution · Sean Boyd ⇄ Rodrigo Costa Freitas
22'Goal · Daniel Kelly (assist : Sean Moore)
Goal · Warren Davis (assist : ethan brien o)40'
44'Yellow card · Kerr Mcinroy

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Goal · Leo Burney (assist : Brandon Kavanagh)57'
61'Substitution · Evan Caffrey ⇄ Alistair Coote
61'Substitution · Rodrigo Costa Freitas ⇄ Ademipo Odubeko
Substitution · Brandon Kavanagh ⇄ Shane Farrell68'
Substitution · Thomas Oluwa ⇄ Mark Doyle68'
Yellow card · Alfie Bates68'
69'Substitution · Sean Moore ⇄ will jarvis
Substitution · Warren Davis ⇄ Ryan Markey79'
80'Yellow card · Alistair Coote
83'Yellow card · will jarvis
Substitution · Alfie Bates ⇄ Ryan Brennan89'

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Shelbourne or draw78%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Shelbourne had 21 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 2.
Shelbourne to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableShelbourne 6th, Drogheda 9th (Premier Division)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Shelbourne (1-0)
During the match40′ equaliser, Drogheda (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match57′ turnaround, Drogheda go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Shelbourne or draw” goes from 84.2% to 80% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier Division

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes