Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier Division (Ireland) · Ireland

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Derry City

3–3full timeHT 3–1 · 2H 0–2

Shamrock Rovers

What Janus-12 said

80%

Draw or Shamrock Rovers

86% success over 7 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Shamrock Rovers

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:01.

Sealed on 28/08, 19:45announced on 15/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

57% success over 7 matches in this league
58%✗

Premier Division

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	St. Patricks	32	17	8	7	+27	59
2	Bohemians	32	17	8	7	+19	59
3	Shamrock Rovers	31	17	8	6	+18	59
4	Derry City	32	9	14	9	+3	41
5	Dundalk	33	10	11	12	-5	41
6	Shelbourne	32	9	13	10	-3	40
7	Galway	32	9	11	12	-6	38
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	-10	34
9	Drogheda	32	8	10	14	-13	34
10	Sligo Rovers	32	5	8	19	-30	23

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Shamrock Rovers80%held
- Shamrock Rovers took control early: opening goal in the 28th minute.
Shamrock Rovers to win58%lost
- Shamrock Rovers chased the score almost all match: Derry City scored as early as the 2nd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDerry City 4th, Shamrock Rovers 3rd (Premier Division)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Derry City (1-0)
During the match16′ Derry City go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match80′ Shamrock Rovers come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Shamrock Rovers” goes from 85.7% to 87.5% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Derry City on the left, Shamrock Rovers on the right.

First half

2'Goal · E. Chapman (assist : M. Duffy)
6'Yellow card · P. McClean
16'Goal · M. Duffy (assist : D. Burns)
Yellow card · M. Noonan18'
24'Yellow card · J. Stott
Goal · M. Noonan (assist : G. Burke)28'
33'Goal · E. Chapman (assist : M. Duffy)
Yellow card · A. Matthews44'

Half-time3 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · C. O'Sullivan50'
64'Substitution · E. Chapman ⇄ J. Olayinka
Substitution · J. O'Sullivan ⇄ W. Fitzgerald69'
Substitution · A. Matthews ⇄ J. Mulraney69'
Goal · G. Burke (assist : W. Fitzgerald)72'
Substitution · J. Byrne ⇄ D. Watts78'
Substitution · A. Brennan ⇄ J. McGovern79'
79'Substitution · N. Twisk ⇄ C. Dummigan
79'Substitution · D. Burns ⇄ B. Cotter
Goal · D. Watts (assist : W. Fitzgerald)80'
Substitution · J. Mulraney ⇄ D. Cleary86'
Yellow card · W. Fitzgerald88'
90+5'Substitution · T. Smith ⇄ M. McColgan

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Shamrock Rovers80%held
- Shamrock Rovers took control early: opening goal in the 28th minute.
Shamrock Rovers to win58%lost
- Shamrock Rovers chased the score almost all match: Derry City scored as early as the 2nd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDerry City 4th, Shamrock Rovers 3rd (Premier Division)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Derry City (1-0)
During the match16′ Derry City go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match80′ Shamrock Rovers come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Shamrock Rovers” goes from 85.7% to 87.5% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier Division

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes