Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Série A (Brazil) · Brazil

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Sunday 20 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Corinthians

1-3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–2

Fluminense

What Janus-12 said

73%

Corinthians or Fluminense

82% success over 62 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Corinthians or Fluminense

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 22:30.

Sealed on 20/09, 20:00announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Serie A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	28	18	6	4	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	+26	57
3	Athletico-PR	28	14	7	7	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	28	12	7	9	+5	43
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	+2	41
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	-6	38
10	Sao Paulo	28	10	6	12	+1	36
11	Bragantino	28	10	6	12	+1	36
12	Botafogo RJ	28	9	8	11	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	-9	32
16	Vasco	27	8	7	12	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	-15	23
20	Chapecoense-SC	27	3	9	15	-24	18

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Corinthians or Fluminense73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCorinthians 14th, Fluminense 4th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, Fluminense (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match56′ equaliser, Corinthians (1-1)
During the match76′ Fluminense retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ Fluminense go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Corinthians or Fluminense” goes from 82.3% to 82.5% success rate, over 63 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Corinthians on the left, Fluminense on the right.

First half

20'Yellow card · Memphis Depay
Goal · Hulk (assist : Luciano Acosta)24'
VAR: Goal confirmed · Hulk24'
35'Yellow card · Matheuzinho
Yellow card · Samuel Xavier Brito44'
45'Substitution · Iago Machado ⇄ Gui Negão
Yellow card · Matheus Martinelli Lima45+6'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

56'Goal · Gustavo Henrique
Substitution · Samuel Xavier Brito ⇄ Julio César Lima Fidelis59'
Substitution · Luciano Acosta ⇄ Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima59'
61'Yellow card · André
Yellow card · Agustín Canobbio62'
Yellow card · Julio César Lima Fidelis64'
Yellow card · Gustavo Nonato Santana71'
Goal · Hulk (assist : Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima)76'
Substitution · Agustín Canobbio ⇄ Riquelme Felipe·Silva de Almeida76'
Substitution · Gustavo Nonato Santana ⇄ Hércules Pereira do Nascimento76'
80'Substitution · André ⇄ Jesse Lingard
81'Substitution · Memphis Depay ⇄ Pedro Raul
Substitution · Hulk ⇄ Rodrigo Castillo87'
88'Substitution · Breno Bidon ⇄ Matheus Pereira
Goal · Kevin Serna (assist : Matheus Martinelli Lima)90+3'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Corinthians or Fluminense73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCorinthians 14th, Fluminense 4th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, Fluminense (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match56′ equaliser, Corinthians (1-1)
During the match76′ Fluminense retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ Fluminense go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Corinthians or Fluminense” goes from 82.3% to 82.5% success rate, over 63 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes