Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Série A (Brazil) · Brazil

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 22:30. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Palmeiras

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Sao Paulo

What Janus-12 said

86%

Palmeiras or draw

78% success over 49 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Palmeiras or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 12/09, 22:30announced on 31/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

45% success over 49 matches in this league
61%✓

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	28	18	6	4	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	+26	57
3	Athletico-PR	28	14	7	7	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	28	12	7	9	+5	43
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	+2	41
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	-6	38
10	Sao Paulo	28	10	6	12	+1	36
11	Bragantino	28	10	6	12	+1	36
12	Botafogo RJ	28	9	8	11	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	-9	32
16	Vasco	27	8	7	12	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	-15	23
20	Chapecoense-SC	27	3	9	15	-24	18

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Palmeiras or draw86%held
- Sao Paulo played 51 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 39th minute.
- Palmeiras took the lead in the 45th minute and never let it go.
Palmeiras to win61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePalmeiras 2nd, Sao Paulo 10th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match39′ sending-off, Sao Paulo (Luis Osorio Messias De Oliveira)
During the match45′ opening goal, Palmeiras (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ Palmeiras go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Palmeiras or draw” goes from 77.6% to 78% success rate, over 50 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Palmeiras on the left, Sao Paulo on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Pablo Maia12'
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Luis Osorio Messias De Oliveira38'
Red card · Luis Osorio Messias De Oliveira39'
45'Substitution · Joaquín Piquerez ⇄ Arthur Gabriel
45'Substitution · Agustin Giay ⇄ Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
Substitution · Cauly Oliveira Souza ⇄ Robert Arboleda45'
45+1'Goal · Murilo Cerqueira Paim
45+4'Yellow card · Gustavo Gómez
45+5'Yellow card · Agustin Giay

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

50'Goal · Vitor Roque (assist : Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira)
Substitution · Andre Silva ⇄ Artur Victor Guimarães64'
Substitution · Wendell ⇄ Iago Amaral Borduchi64'
Substitution · Djhordney Ferreira ⇄ Danielzinho64'
67'Substitution · Lucas Evangelista ⇄ Luis Pacheco
67'Substitution · Jhon Arias ⇄ Felipe Anderson
76'Yellow card · Murilo Cerqueira Paim
Substitution · Aldemir Ferreira ⇄ Tetê76'
77'Substitution · José Manuel López ⇄ Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
85'Yellow card · Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Palmeiras or draw86%held
- Sao Paulo played 51 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 39th minute.
- Palmeiras took the lead in the 45th minute and never let it go.
Palmeiras to win61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePalmeiras 2nd, Sao Paulo 10th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match39′ sending-off, Sao Paulo (Luis Osorio Messias De Oliveira)
During the match45′ opening goal, Palmeiras (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ Palmeiras go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Palmeiras or draw” goes from 77.6% to 78% success rate, over 50 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes