Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Série A (Brazil) · Brazil

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 01:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Coritiba

3–3full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 2–1

Athletico-PR

What Janus-12 said

73%

Coritiba or Athletico-PR

78% success over 46 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Coritiba or Athletico-PR

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 12/09, 01:00announced on 31/08/2026, 11 days before kick-off

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	28	18	6	4	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	+26	57
3	Athletico-PR	28	14	7	7	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	28	12	7	9	+5	43
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	+2	41
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	-6	38
10	Sao Paulo	28	10	6	12	+1	36
11	Bragantino	28	10	6	12	+1	36
12	Botafogo RJ	28	9	8	11	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	-9	32
16	Vasco	27	8	7	12	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	-15	23
20	Chapecoense-SC	27	3	9	15	-24	18

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Coritiba or Athletico-PR73%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 45th minute, on the Coritiba side.
- The two teams managed only 12 shots on target in total, for 6 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCoritiba 9th, Athletico-PR 3rd (Serie A)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Athletico-PR (0-1)
During the match30′ Athletico-PR go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match45′ sending-off, Coritiba (Breno Lopes)
During the match90′ Coritiba come back from 2 goals down (3-3)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Rodrigo Moledo (Coritiba)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Rodrigo Moledo (Coritiba)

What it changes

In this league, “Coritiba or Athletico-PR” goes from 78.3% to 76.6% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Coritiba on the left, Athletico-PR on the right.

First half

Goal · Luiz Gustavo (assist : Lucas Esquivel)14'
28'Yellow card · Joaquin Lavega
Goal · Arthur Dias (assist : João Victor Machado Cruz)30'
34'Yellow card · Jacy
Yellow card · Kevin Viveros34'
Yellow card · João Victor Machado Cruz43'
44'VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Breno Lopes
Substitution · Gaston Americo Benavidez ⇄ Gilberto45'
Substitution · João Victor Machado Cruz ⇄ Carlos Teran45'
45'Substitution · Bruno Melo ⇄ Richard
45'Substitution · Pedro Rocha ⇄ Rodrigo Rodrigues
45'Substitution · Joaquin Lavega ⇄ Paulo Roberto
45'Substitution · JP Chermont ⇄ Rodrigo Moledo
Substitution · João Vitor Silva Dantas de Oliveira ⇄ Antonio Feliphe Costa Silva45'
45+1'Red card · Breno Lopes
45+2'Goal · Tiago Coser
Yellow card · João Vitor Silva Dantas de Oliveira45+5'
45+9'Yellow card · JP Chermont
45+12'Yellow card · Pedro Rocha

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

Penalty goal · Kevin Viveros63'
Substitution · Kevin Viveros ⇄ Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno67'
74'Substitution · Thiago Santos ⇄ Rodrigo Silva Nascimento
90+1'Goal · Rodrigo Moledo (assist : Josué)
Yellow card · Luiz Gustavo90+3'
Substitution · Stiven Mendoza ⇄ Juan Portilla90+4'
90+7'Goal · Rodrigo Moledo (assist : Josué)

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Coritiba or Athletico-PR73%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 45th minute, on the Coritiba side.
- The two teams managed only 12 shots on target in total, for 6 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCoritiba 9th, Athletico-PR 3rd (Serie A)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Athletico-PR (0-1)
During the match30′ Athletico-PR go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match45′ sending-off, Coritiba (Breno Lopes)
During the match90′ Coritiba come back from 2 goals down (3-3)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Rodrigo Moledo (Coritiba)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Rodrigo Moledo (Coritiba)

What it changes

In this league, “Coritiba or Athletico-PR” goes from 78.3% to 76.6% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes