Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Série A (Brazil) · Brazil

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Corinthians

0-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–0

Santos

What Janus-12 said

73%

Corinthians or draw

80% success over 30 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Corinthians or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 09:35.

Sealed on 30/08, 20:00announced on 17/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Serie A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	28	18	6	4	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	+26	57
3	Athletico-PR	28	14	7	7	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	28	12	7	9	+5	43
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	+2	41
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	-6	38
10	Sao Paulo	28	10	6	12	+1	36
11	Bragantino	28	10	6	12	+1	36
12	Botafogo RJ	28	9	8	11	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	-9	32
16	Vasco	27	8	7	12	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	-15	23
20	Chapecoense-SC	27	3	9	15	-24	18

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Corinthians or draw73%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Corinthians had 16 shots against 7, for 0 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCorinthians 14th, Santos 8th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, Santos (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Corinthians or draw” goes from 80% to 77.4% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,890 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Corinthians on the left, Santos on the right.

First half

Yellow card · A. Barreal10'
Yellow card · Willian Arao20'
Substitution · Gustavo Henrique ⇄ C. Oliva24'
31'Yellow card · Gabriel Paulista
Goal · C. Oliva33'
45+2'Yellow card · R. Garro
45+4'Yellow card · Raniele
Yellow card · Lucas Verissimo45+5'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

64'Substitution · Allan ⇄ Pedro Raul
Substitution · Gabriel Bontempo ⇄ Rony67'
Substitution · A. Barreal ⇄ D. Fernandes73'
Substitution · Gabriel Barbosa ⇄ B. Rollheiser73'
77'Substitution · Dieguinho ⇄ Gui Negao
84'Substitution · Raniele ⇄ M. Pereira

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Corinthians or draw73%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Corinthians had 16 shots against 7, for 0 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCorinthians 14th, Santos 8th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, Santos (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Corinthians or draw” goes from 80% to 77.4% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,890 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes