Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Série A (Brazil) · Brazil

full time

Sunday, 23 August 2026

Santos

1-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

Mirassol

What Janus-12 said

81%

Santos or draw

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 23/08, 22:30announced on 15/08/2026, 8 days before kick-off

poster not sealed at kick-off: success rates are not shown

Serie A

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	28	18	6	4	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	+26	57
3	Athletico-PR	28	14	7	7	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	28	12	7	9	+5	43
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	+2	41
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	-6	38
10	Sao Paulo	28	10	6	12	+1	36
11	Bragantino	28	10	6	12	+1	36
12	Botafogo RJ	28	9	8	11	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	-9	32
16	Vasco	27	8	7	12	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	-15	23
20	Chapecoense-SC	27	3	9	15	-24	18

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Santos to win56%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Santos had 20 shots against 5, for 1 goal against 1.
- The chances were on the right side: 1.06 expected goals for Santos against 0.23, and the score says the opposite.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSantos 8th, Mirassol 15th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Mirassol (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match68′ equaliser, Santos (1-1)
During the match73′ sending-off, Mirassol (Wallisson)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,715 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Santos on the left, Mirassol on the right.

First half

20'Yellow card · Joao Schmidt
Yellow card · Gabriel Knesowitsch22'
Yellow card · Neto Moura24'
Substitution · Gabriel Knesowitsch ⇄ Lucas Oliveira28'
Goal · Eduardo36'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

46'Substitution · Rony ⇄ Gabriel Bontempo
61'Substitution · Joao Schmidt ⇄ B. Rollheiser
Substitution · G. Cazonatti ⇄ Wallisson61'
Substitution · Eduardo ⇄ Japa61'
68'Goal · A. Barreal (assist : Neymar)
Red card · Wallisson73'
74'Substitution · A. Barreal ⇄ Thaciano
Yellow card · Igor Formiga76'
Substitution · Bruno Santos ⇄ Carlos Eduardo78'
Substitution · Alesson ⇄ Fernandinho78'
82'Substitution · Igor Vinicius ⇄ D. Fernandes
82'Substitution · Gabriel Barbosa ⇄ G. Caballero
88'Yellow card · Neymar

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Santos to win56%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Santos had 20 shots against 5, for 1 goal against 1.
- The chances were on the right side: 1.06 expected goals for Santos against 0.23, and the score says the opposite.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSantos 8th, Mirassol 15th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Mirassol (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match68′ equaliser, Santos (1-1)
During the match73′ sending-off, Mirassol (Wallisson)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,715 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes