Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

MLS · USA

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Houston Dynamo

0–2full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 0–0

Sporting Kansas City

What Janus-12 said

84%

Houston Dynamo or draw

68% success over 120 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 16 %

A prediction at 84 % fails 16 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Houston Dynamo or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 15:11.

Sealed on 27/09, 01:30announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

40% success over 120 matches in this league
65%✗

Western Conference

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	+13	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	0	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	0	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	-7	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	-4	32
12	San Diego FC	27	8	8	11	0	32
13	Austin FC	27	7	10	10	-12	31
14	Minnesota United	27	7	8	12	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	-33	21

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Houston Dynamo or draw84%lost
- Houston Dynamo finished with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute, 45 minutes a man down.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Houston Dynamo had 21 shots against 10, for 0 goal against 2.
Houston Dynamo to win65%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHouston Dynamo 5th, Sporting Kansas City 15th (Western Conference)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Sporting Kansas City (0-1)
During the match45′ Sporting Kansas City go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match45′ sending-off, Houston Dynamo (Héctor Herrera)

What it changes

In this league, “Houston Dynamo or draw” goes from 68.3% to 67.8% success rate, over 121 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Houston Dynamo on the left, Sporting Kansas City on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Justin Reynolds1'
Goal · André Luiz (assist : Stephen Afrifa)27'
Goal · Calvin Harris (assist : André Luiz)45'
45+3'Red card · Héctor Herrera
Yellow card · Taylor Calheira45+4'
Yellow card · André Luiz45+6'

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

54'Yellow card · Antônio Carlos
56'Substitution · Franco Negri ⇄ Felipe·De Andrade Vieira
Substitution · André Luiz ⇄ Ruben Ramos Jr62'
Yellow card · Stephen Afrifa68'
71'Substitution · Lawrence Ennali ⇄ Marcelo Saracchi
71'Substitution · Ibrahim Aliyu ⇄ Lyle Foster
71'Substitution · Agustín Bouzat ⇄ Matthew Arana
Substitution · Justin Reynolds ⇄ Jacob Bartlett72'
Substitution · Calvin Harris ⇄ Owen Wolff72'
Substitution · Taylor Calheira ⇄ Seymour Garfield-Reid79'
Substitution · Stephen Afrifa ⇄ Zorhan Bassong80'
82'Substitution · Mateusz Bogusz ⇄ Duncan McGuire

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Houston Dynamo or draw84%lost
- Houston Dynamo finished with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute, 45 minutes a man down.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Houston Dynamo had 21 shots against 10, for 0 goal against 2.
Houston Dynamo to win65%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHouston Dynamo 5th, Sporting Kansas City 15th (Western Conference)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Sporting Kansas City (0-1)
During the match45′ Sporting Kansas City go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match45′ sending-off, Houston Dynamo (Héctor Herrera)

What it changes

In this league, “Houston Dynamo or draw” goes from 68.3% to 67.8% success rate, over 121 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Western Conference

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes