Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

MLS · USA

full time

Thursday, 1 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Thursday 1 October at 00:30. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 00:30.

Change noted on 28/09.

New York Red Bulls

0-3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–2

St. Louis City

What Janus-12 said

72%

New York Red Bulls or St. Louis City

68% success over 120 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: New York Red Bulls or St. Louis City

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/09, 16:41.

Sealed on 27/09, 00:30announced on 13/09/2026, 17 days before kick-off

Eastern Conference

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	+14	46
4	Chicago Fire	27	13	6	8	+10	45
5	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	+9	43
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	+10	39
7	Orlando City	27	10	4	13	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	-17	33
9	New York City	27	8	9	10	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	-12	29
14	Atlanta Utd	27	7	6	14	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	-20	24

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

New York Red Bulls or St. Louis City72%held

What happened

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, St. Louis City (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match87′ St. Louis City go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ last goal, St. Louis City

What it changes

In this league, “New York Red Bulls or St. Louis City” goes from 68.3% to 68.6% success rate, over 121 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

New York Red Bulls on the left, St. Louis City on the right.

First half

Goal · Rafael Navarro Leal (assist : Conrad Wallem)5'
Yellow card · Timo Baumgartl35'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

63'Substitution · Devin Padelford ⇄ Connor Faello
64'Substitution · Jorge Ruvalcaba ⇄ Pedro Castro
Substitution · Alexandru Măţan ⇄ Simon Becher71'
Substitution · Carlo Holse ⇄ Sang-bin Jung71'
84'Substitution · Sekou Kone ⇄ Nate Worth
Substitution · Daniel Edelman ⇄ Lukas MacNaughton85'
Substitution · Rafael Navarro Leal ⇄ Tomas Ostrak85'
86'Yellow card · Emil Forsberg
87'Substitution · Mohammed Sofo ⇄ Andy Rojas Maroto
87'Substitution · Tim Parker ⇄ Robert Voloder
Goal · Simon Becher (assist : Christopher Durkin)87'
Goal · Tomas Ostrak90+1'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

New York Red Bulls or St. Louis City72%held

What happened

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, St. Louis City (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match87′ St. Louis City go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ last goal, St. Louis City

What it changes

In this league, “New York Red Bulls or St. Louis City” goes from 68.3% to 68.6% success rate, over 121 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eastern Conference

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes