Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

MLS · USA

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Charlotte

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Chicago Fire

What Janus-12 said

78%

Charlotte or draw

68% success over 120 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 22 %

A prediction at 78 % fails 22 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Charlotte or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 04:47.

Sealed on 27/09, 00:30announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

40% success over 120 matches in this league
54%✗

Eastern Conference

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	+10	39
7	Orlando City	27	10	4	13	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	-17	33
9	New York City	27	8	9	10	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	-12	29
14	Atlanta Utd	27	7	6	14	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	-20	24

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Charlotte or draw78%lost
Charlotte to win54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCharlotte 4th, Chicago Fire 5th (Eastern Conference)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match58′ opening goal, Chicago Fire (0-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Charlotte (Tim Ream)

What it changes

In this league, “Charlotte or draw” goes from 68.3% to 67.8% success rate, over 121 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Charlotte on the left, Chicago Fire on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Sergio Oregel23'
34'Yellow card · Djibril Diani
38'Yellow card · Allan Saint-Maximin

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

49'Substitution · Archie Goodwin ⇄ Tyger Smalls
Own goal · Luca De La Torre58'
61'VAR: Goal cancelled · Tyger Smalls
70'Substitution · Djibril Diani ⇄ David Schnegg
70'Substitution · Luca De La Torre ⇄ Brandt Bronico
74'Yellow card · Pep Biel
Substitution · Leonardo Barroso ⇄ Andrew Gutman75'
Substitution · Sergio Oregel ⇄ Mauricio Pineda75'
Substitution · Jonathan Bamba ⇄ David Poreba80'
Substitution · Mbekezeli Mbokazi ⇄ Sam Rogers80'
Yellow card · David Poreba81'
81'Substitution · Will Cleary ⇄ Nathan Byrne
81'Substitution · Harry Toffolo ⇄ Nathan Richmond
82'Yellow card · Ashley Westwood
90+8'Yellow card · Tim Ream
90+8'Red card · Tim Ream

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Charlotte or draw78%lost
Charlotte to win54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCharlotte 4th, Chicago Fire 5th (Eastern Conference)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match58′ opening goal, Chicago Fire (0-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Charlotte (Tim Ream)

What it changes

In this league, “Charlotte or draw” goes from 68.3% to 67.8% success rate, over 121 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eastern Conference

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes