Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

MLS · USA

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Philadelphia Union

4–2full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 2–2

Orlando City

What Janus-12 said

80%

Philadelphia Union or draw

68% success over 120 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Philadelphia Union or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 04:47.

Sealed on 27/09, 00:30announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

40% success over 120 matches in this league
57%✓

Eastern Conference

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	+10	39
7	Orlando City	27	10	4	13	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	-17	33
9	New York City	27	8	9	10	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	-12	29
14	Atlanta Utd	27	7	6	14	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	-20	24

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Philadelphia Union or draw80%held
- Philadelphia Union took the lead in the 11th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Philadelphia Union against 2.
Philadelphia Union to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePhiladelphia Union 6th, Orlando City 7th (Eastern Conference)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Philadelphia Union (1-0)
During the match19′ Philadelphia Union go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match90′ last goal, Orlando City

What it changes

In this league, “Philadelphia Union or draw” goes from 68.3% to 68.6% success rate, over 121 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Philadelphia Union on the left, Orlando City on the right.

First half

11'Penalty goal · Milan Iloski
Yellow card · Eduard Atuesta12'
19'Goal · Milan Iloski (assist : Indiana Vassilev)
Yellow card · Iago Teodoro37'
Yellow card · Joran Gerbet43'

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

47'Goal · Indiana Vassilev (assist : Jesus Bueno)
51'Goal · Milan Iloski (assist : Indiana Vassilev)
Substitution · Bernardo Rhein ⇄ Harvey Graham Sarajian54'
Substitution · Joran Gerbet ⇄ Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino54'
Substitution · Zakaria Taifi ⇄ Vinicius Nogueira54'
62'Yellow card · Quinn Sullivan
77'Yellow card · Japhet Sery Larsen
Goal · Iván Angulo (assist : Antoine Griezmann)78'
79'Substitution · Quinn Sullivan ⇄ Alejandro Bedoya
79'Substitution · Milan Iloski ⇄ Agustin Anello
Yellow card · Iván Angulo84'
85'Substitution · Bruno Damiani ⇄ Ezekiel Kwame Alladoh
85'Substitution · Indiana Vassilev ⇄ Jeremy Rafanello
Substitution · Daryl Dike ⇄ Tiago Souza de Jesús Carvalho89'
Goal · Martin Ojeda (assist : Harvey Graham Sarajian)90'
90+1'Substitution · Benjamin Bender ⇄ Jordan Griffin

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Philadelphia Union or draw80%held
- Philadelphia Union took the lead in the 11th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Philadelphia Union against 2.
Philadelphia Union to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePhiladelphia Union 6th, Orlando City 7th (Eastern Conference)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Philadelphia Union (1-0)
During the match19′ Philadelphia Union go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match90′ last goal, Orlando City

What it changes

In this league, “Philadelphia Union or draw” goes from 68.3% to 68.6% success rate, over 121 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Eastern Conference

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes