Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

MLS · USA

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Houston Dynamo

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

FC Cincinnati

What Janus-12 said

79%

Houston Dynamo or FC Cincinnati

66% success over 105 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 21 %

A prediction at 79 % fails 21 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Houston Dynamo or FC Cincinnati

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 22:23.

Sealed on 20/09, 01:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

39% success over 105 matches in this league
56%✗

Western Conference

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	+13	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	0	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	0	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	-7	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	-4	32
12	San Diego FC	27	8	8	11	0	32
13	Austin FC	27	7	10	10	-12	31
14	Minnesota United	27	7	8	12	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	-33	21

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Houston Dynamo or FC Cincinnati79%lost
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
- The volume of chances went no further: 3.25 expected goals in total.
Houston Dynamo to win56%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: FC Cincinnati scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Houston Dynamo (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ Houston Dynamo go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ FC Cincinnati come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Houston Dynamo or FC Cincinnati” goes from 65.7% to 65.1% success rate, over 106 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Houston Dynamo on the left, FC Cincinnati on the right.

First half

38'Goal · Guilherme

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

50'Penalty goal · M. Bogusz
Substitution · E. Echenique ⇄ B. J. Ramirez Leon55'
Substitution · O. Nwobodo ⇄ T. Barlow55'
Substitution · N. Hagglund ⇄ T. Hadebe55'
68'Substitution · A. Bouzat ⇄ D. Samassekou
Goal · B. J. Ramirez Leon (assist : K. Denkey)73'
82'Substitution · L. Ennali ⇄ I. Aliyu
82'Substitution · H. Herrera ⇄ M. Arana
Substitution · P. Bucha ⇄ K. Smith85'
Substitution · G. Valenzuela ⇄ A. Jabbari88'
90+5'Substitution · Guilherme ⇄ D. McGuire
Penalty goal · K. Denkey90+7'

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Houston Dynamo or FC Cincinnati79%lost
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
- The volume of chances went no further: 3.25 expected goals in total.
Houston Dynamo to win56%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: FC Cincinnati scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Houston Dynamo (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ Houston Dynamo go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ FC Cincinnati come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Houston Dynamo or FC Cincinnati” goes from 65.7% to 65.1% success rate, over 106 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Western Conference

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes