Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

MLS · USA

full time

Friday, 2 October 2026

Seattle Sounders

2–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–0

Sporting Kansas City

What Janus-12 said

80%

Seattle Sounders or Sporting Kansas City

70% success over 135 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Seattle Sounders or Sporting Kansas City

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 01/10, 15:40.

Sealed on 02/10, 02:30announced on 18/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

41% success over 135 matches in this league
59%✓

Western Conference

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	+13	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	0	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	0	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	-7	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	-4	32
12	San Diego FC	27	8	8	11	0	32
13	Austin FC	27	7	10	10	-12	31
14	Minnesota United	27	7	8	12	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	-33	21

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Seattle Sounders or Sporting Kansas City80%held
Seattle Sounders to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSeattle Sounders 7th, Sporting Kansas City 15th (Western Conference)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Sporting Kansas City (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match51′ equaliser, Seattle Sounders (1-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Seattle Sounders go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Seattle Sounders or Sporting Kansas City” goes from 69.6% to 69.9% success rate, over 136 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 783,978 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Seattle Sounders on the left, Sporting Kansas City on the right.

First half

Goal · André Luiz (assist : Stephen Afrifa)44'
45'Substitution · Daniel Musovski ⇄ Sebastian Gomez

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

51'Goal · Sebastian Gomez (assist : Jordan Morris)
61'Yellow card · Nouhou Tolo
63'Substitution · stuar hawkins ⇄ Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
63'Substitution · Paul Arriola ⇄ Caden Clark
Substitution · Calvin Harris ⇄ Zorhan Bassong76'
Substitution · André Luiz ⇄ Shapi Suleymanov76'
Substitution · Stephen Afrifa ⇄ Seymour Garfield-Reid76'
Substitution · Lasse Berg Johnsen ⇄ Jacob Bartlett79'
89'Substitution · Peter Kingston ⇄ Mark Bronnik
90'Goal · Cristian Roldán
90+3'Substitution · Albert Rusnák ⇄ Yeimar Gomez

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Seattle Sounders or Sporting Kansas City80%held
Seattle Sounders to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSeattle Sounders 7th, Sporting Kansas City 15th (Western Conference)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Sporting Kansas City (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match51′ equaliser, Seattle Sounders (1-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Seattle Sounders go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Seattle Sounders or Sporting Kansas City” goes from 69.6% to 69.9% success rate, over 136 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 783,978 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Western Conference

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes