Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Uruguay) · Uruguay

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Racing Montevideo

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Penarol

What Janus-12 said

74%

Draw or Penarol

74% success over 53 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Penarol

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 23:30announced on 24/09/2026, 10 days before kick-off

Primera: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	9	4	2	+9	31
2	Deportivo Maldonado	15	9	2	4	+8	29
3	Albion FC	15	8	4	3	+10	28
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	+7	27
5	Central Espanol	15	7	3	5	+1	24
6	Atletico Torque	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Club Nacional	15	7	1	7	+5	22
8	Defensor Sporting	15	5	6	4	+2	21
9	Liverpool Montevideo	15	5	5	5	+2	20
10	Wanderers	15	6	2	7	-5	20
11	Danubio	15	4	6	5	-4	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	5	2	8	-3	17
13	Boston River	15	5	2	8	-6	17
14	Juventud	15	4	3	8	-5	15
15	Progreso	15	2	4	9	-11	10
16	Cerro	15	2	4	9	-16	10

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Penarol74%held
- Penarol took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRacing Montevideo 1st, Penarol 4th (Primera: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match89′ opening goal, Penarol (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Penarol” goes from 73.6% to 74.1% success rate, over 54 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Racing Montevideo on the left, Penarol on the right.

First half

23'Yellow card · Alex Vázquez
Yellow card · Jesús Trindade28'
Yellow card · Lucas Agustin Ferreira Zagas29'
29'Yellow card · Sebastian Da Silva

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

46'Yellow card · Martín Ferreira
Yellow card · nahuel herrera53'
63'Substitution · Alex Vázquez ⇄ franco suarez
63'Substitution · E. Da Silva ⇄ Rodri Gadea
Substitution · nahuel herrera ⇄ Mauricio Lemos69'
Substitution · Jesús Trindade ⇄ Jonathan Rodriguez69'
Yellow card · Germán Pezzella74'
77'Substitution · ramiro brazionis ⇄ Facundo Gonzalez
Yellow card · Eric Remedi81'
85'Yellow card · Facundo Gonzalez
Substitution · Thiago Espinosa ⇄ Lucas Hernández88'
Substitution · Cristian Jaime ⇄ Franco González88'
Goal · Matías Arezo89'
Substitution · Matías Arezo ⇄ Tomás Olase Curutchet90+2'
90+3'Substitution · yuri oyarzo ⇄ Juan Guarino

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Penarol74%held
- Penarol took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRacing Montevideo 1st, Penarol 4th (Primera: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match89′ opening goal, Penarol (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Penarol” goes from 73.6% to 74.1% success rate, over 54 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes