Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Uruguay) · Uruguay

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Danubio

2–1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–0

Cerro Largo

What Janus-12 said

73%

Danubio or Cerro Largo

74% success over 50 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Danubio or Cerro Largo

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 14:00announced on 24/09/2026, 10 days before kick-off

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Penarol	7	5	1	1	+9	16
1	Wanderers	7	4	3	0	+8	15
2	Cerro Largo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
2	Club Nacional	7	4	1	2	0	13
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	+6	12
3	Racing Montevideo	7	2	4	1	+1	10
4	Liverpool Montevideo	7	2	3	2	0	9
4	Atletico Torque	7	4	0	3	0	12
5	Juventud	7	2	2	3	-3	8
5	Central Espanol	7	2	3	2	0	9
6	Cerro	7	3	0	4	-4	9
6	Albion FC	7	1	3	3	-2	6
7	Progreso	7	2	0	5	-5	6
7	Defensor Sporting	7	1	3	3	-3	6
8	Boston River	7	1	2	4	-5	5
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	-4	4

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Danubio or Cerro Largo73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDanubio 8th, Cerro Largo 2nd (Primera: Torneo Intermedio)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Danubio (1-0)
During the match27′ Danubio go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Danubio or Cerro Largo” goes from 74% to 74.5% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Danubio on the left, Cerro Largo on the right.

First half

1'Yellow card · Tomas Bernardo Cavanagh
15'Goal · Mateo peralta
Yellow card · Pedro Gonzalez26'
27'Penalty goal · Mateo peralta
Yellow card · Santiago Marcel·Perez30'
Goal · Alexis Sebastián Segovia42'

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

46'Substitution · Tomas Bernardo Cavanagh ⇄ Gonzalo Rodríguez
Substitution · Pedro Gonzalez ⇄ Lukas gonzalez46'
Substitution · Lucas Piriz ⇄ Diego Daguerre59'
Yellow card · Diego Daguerre60'
61'Substitution · Benjamin Azambuja ⇄ Sebastián Fernández
61'Substitution · Ivan Rossi ⇄ J. Millán
Yellow card · alexis piegas61'
68'Substitution · Sebastián Rodriguez ⇄ Enzo Cabrera
70'Yellow card · J. Millán
Substitution · nicolas ramos ⇄ Robert Ergas71'
Substitution · Alexis Sebastián Segovia ⇄ Mario Garcia71'
Substitution · Santiago Marcel·Perez ⇄ Borys Barone83'
90+1'Yellow card · Gonzalo Rodríguez
90+6'Yellow card

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Danubio or Cerro Largo73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDanubio 8th, Cerro Largo 2nd (Primera: Torneo Intermedio)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Danubio (1-0)
During the match27′ Danubio go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Danubio or Cerro Largo” goes from 74% to 74.5% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera: Torneo Intermedio

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes