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Janus-12

Segunda División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Minas

4–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 3–0

Union Comercio

What Janus-12 said

81%

Minas or draw

71% success over 35 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Minas or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/10, 15:40.

Sealed on 06/10, 19:15announced on 23/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 12 matches in this league
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66% success over 29 matches in this league
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62% success over 34 matches in this league
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61% success over 33 matches in this league
75%✗
50% success over 86 matches, all leagues
55%✗
46% success over 35 matches in this league
54%✓

Segunda División

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Bentín Tacna Heroica	16	8	5	3	+9	29
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	+14	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	+10	30
2	Comerciantes	16	6	8	2	+9	26
3	Minas	16	6	7	3	+13	25
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Sport Huancayo 2	16	7	4	5	+9	25
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	+5	25
5	Alianza Universidad	16	5	6	5	0	21
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	+9	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	+2	21
6	Santos	16	6	3	7	-3	21
7	Ayacucho FC	16	5	4	7	-2	19
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	+1	19
8	Estudiantil CNI	16	4	5	7	+4	17
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	-43	0
9	Deportivo Binacional	16	2	4	10	-39	10

What we announced

4/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Minas or draw81%held
- Minas held on with ten men for 6 minutes (sent off in the 84th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Union Comercio played 9 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 81st minute.
Under 2.5 goals52%lost
Draw or Union Comercio ahead at half-time61%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 25′ Union Comercio, 35′ Minas.
Over 1.5 goals70%held
Under 3.5 goals75%lost
No goal before 28:0055%lost
Minas to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMinas 3rd, Union Comercio 1st (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Union Comercio (0-1)
During the match35′ equaliser, Minas (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match59′ turnaround, Minas go ahead (2-1)
During the match70′ turnaround, Minas go ahead (3-1)
During the match77′ turnaround, Minas go ahead (4-1)
During the match81′ sending-off, Union Comercio (P. Serra)
During the match84′ sending-off, Minas
During the match86′ sending-off, Minas (C. Ruiz)
During the match86′ sending-off, Minas (A. Agurto)

What it changes

In this league, “Minas or draw” goes from 71.4% to 72.2% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Minas on the left, Union Comercio on the right.

First half

15'Yellow card · S. Velasco
Goal · G. Guerrero25'
30'Substitution · S. Velasco ⇄ C. Ruiz
35'Goal · Y. Mena
37'Yellow card · T. Carranza
45'Yellow card

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

52'Yellow card
55'Yellow card · D. Ramirez
Yellow card · M. Palacios58'
59'Goal · L. Trujillo
62'Substitution · D. Ramirez ⇄ D. Chavez
63'Substitution · S. Lopez ⇄ D. Alania
Substitution · E. Cruz ⇄ J. Ayala64'
Substitution · M. Palacios ⇄ W. Mimbela64'
Substitution · G. Guerrero ⇄ C. Vargas69'
70'Goal · Y. Mena
72'Substitution · Y. Mena ⇄ R. Chinga
72'Substitution · S. Santibanez ⇄ A. Agurto
Substitution · E. Alvarez ⇄ M. Peralta74'
Yellow card75'
Yellow card · M. Peralta77'
77'Goal · L. Trujillo
Red card · P. Serra81'
84'Red card
85'Yellow card
86'Yellow card · C. Ruiz
86'Red card · C. Ruiz
86'Red card · A. Agurto

What we announced

4/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Minas or draw81%held
- Minas held on with ten men for 6 minutes (sent off in the 84th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Union Comercio played 9 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 81st minute.
Under 2.5 goals52%lost
Draw or Union Comercio ahead at half-time61%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 25′ Union Comercio, 35′ Minas.
Over 1.5 goals70%held
Under 3.5 goals75%lost
No goal before 28:0055%lost
Minas to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMinas 3rd, Union Comercio 1st (Segunda División)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Union Comercio (0-1)
During the match35′ equaliser, Minas (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match59′ turnaround, Minas go ahead (2-1)
During the match70′ turnaround, Minas go ahead (3-1)
During the match77′ turnaround, Minas go ahead (4-1)
During the match81′ sending-off, Union Comercio (P. Serra)
During the match84′ sending-off, Minas
During the match86′ sending-off, Minas (C. Ruiz)
During the match86′ sending-off, Minas (A. Agurto)

What it changes

In this league, “Minas or draw” goes from 71.4% to 72.2% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda División

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes