Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Friendlies · World

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Russia

3–3full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–2

Nigeria

What Janus-12 said

77%

Russia or draw

65% success over 63 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Russia or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/10, 23:30.

Sealed on 06/10, 17:00announced on 01/10/2026, 4 days before kick-off

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Russia or draw77%held
- Russia took control early: opening goal in the 30th minute.

What happened

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Nigeria (0-1)
During the match30′ equaliser, Russia (1-1)
During the match45′ turnaround, Russia go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match54′ turnaround, Russia go ahead (3-1)
During the match90′ Nigeria come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Russia or draw” goes from 65.1% to 65.6% success rate, over 64 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,788 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Russia on the left, Nigeria on the right.

First half

Goal · K. Iheanacho (assist : A. Bewene)10'
30'Goal · L. Sadulaev (assist : M. Kislyak)
37'Yellow card · I. Oblyakov
43'Yellow card · L. Sadulaev
45+2'Goal · M. Kislyak

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

Substitution · K. Iheanacho ⇄ A. Umar46'
Substitution · S. Michael ⇄ A. Adams46'
54'Goal · A. Miranchuk (assist : A. Sobolev)
60'Substitution · A. Sobolev ⇄ K. Tyukavin
60'Substitution · L. Sadulaev ⇄ K. Glebov
60'Substitution · A. Miranchuk ⇄ M. Glushenkov
Substitution · A. Adeoye ⇄ P. Edokpolor70'
Substitution · M. Simon ⇄ U. Abubakar70'
Goal · P. Edokpolor78'
79'Substitution · V. Melekhin ⇄ M. Beveev
Yellow card · C. Nwoko81'
Substitution · C. Nwoko ⇄ V. Osuji83'
88'Substitution · I. Oblyakov ⇄ D. Prutsev
Goal · A. Adams (assist : U. Abubakar)90+4'
Yellow card · U. Abubakar90+6'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Russia or draw77%held
- Russia took control early: opening goal in the 30th minute.

What happened

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Nigeria (0-1)
During the match30′ equaliser, Russia (1-1)
During the match45′ turnaround, Russia go ahead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match54′ turnaround, Russia go ahead (3-1)
During the match90′ Nigeria come back from 2 goals down (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Russia or draw” goes from 65.1% to 65.6% success rate, over 64 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,788 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes