Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Friendlies · World

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Poland U18

0–1full time

Uruguay U18

What Janus-12 said

78%

Poland U18 or draw

69% success over 54 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 22 %

A prediction at 78 % fails 22 % of the time: it happened.

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 06/10, 10:00announced on 01/10/2026, 4 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

44% success over 54 matches in this league
52%✗

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Poland U18 or draw78%lost
Poland U18 to win52%lost

What it changes

In this league, “Poland U18 or draw” goes from 68.5% to 67.3% success rate, over 55 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,788 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Poland U18 or draw78%lost
Poland U18 to win52%lost

What it changes

In this league, “Poland U18 or draw” goes from 68.5% to 67.3% success rate, over 55 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,788 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

What we announced

What it changes

What we announced

What it changes