Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

CONCACAF Nations League · World

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Tuesday 6 October at 21:00. Originally planned for Tuesday 6 October at 20:00.

Change noted on 04/10.

Montserrat

4–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 2–1

Turks and Caicos Islands

What Janus-12 said

80%

Montserrat or draw

81% success over 32 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Montserrat or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/10, 23:30.

Sealed on 06/10, 21:00announced on 01/10/2026, 5 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

66% success over 32 matches in this league
55%✓

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Montserrat or draw80%held
- Turks and Caicos Islands played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- Montserrat took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
Montserrat to win55%held

What happened

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Montserrat (1-0)
During the match45′ Montserrat go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match45′ sending-off, Turks and Caicos Islands (Mackenson cadet)
During the match71′ sending-off, Turks and Caicos Islands (Christopher louisy)
Line-up82′ the goal came off the bench: Tyrone Baker (Montserrat)
During the match84′ sending-off, Turks and Caicos Islands (Steven Sessegnon)
During the match90′ last goal, Montserrat

What it changes

In this league, “Montserrat or draw” goes from 81.3% to 81.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Montserrat on the left, Turks and Caicos Islands on the right.

First half

3'Penalty goal · Lyle Taylor
Yellow card · Mackenson cadet16'
24'Yellow card · Brandon Comley
36'Yellow card · James dyer
Substitution · Anthony Stewart ⇄ Callum park41'
Yellow card · Steven Sessegnon45+2'
Red card · Mackenson cadet45+3'
45+4'Penalty goal · Lyle Taylor

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Schuyler Selver ⇄ John Robertson46'
46'Substitution · brandon barzey ⇄ Tyrone Baker
70'Substitution · James dyer ⇄ Jernade Meade
Red card · Christopher louisy71'
Yellow card · Junior Paul76'
Substitution · dominic hutchinson ⇄ Ledson jerome79'
79'Substitution · Nico Gordon ⇄ Princewell Madu
79'Substitution · Mackye west townsend ⇄ dominic richmond
Goal · Billy Forbes81'
82'Goal · Tyrone Baker
Red card · Steven Sessegnon84'
Substitution · Callum park ⇄ Jeff Beljour86'
86'Substitution · Jernade Meade ⇄ vashim roache
90'Goal · ashley boatswain (assist : Lenni Rae Cirino)

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Montserrat or draw80%held
- Turks and Caicos Islands played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- Montserrat took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
Montserrat to win55%held

What happened

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Montserrat (1-0)
During the match45′ Montserrat go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match45′ sending-off, Turks and Caicos Islands (Mackenson cadet)
During the match71′ sending-off, Turks and Caicos Islands (Christopher louisy)
Line-up82′ the goal came off the bench: Tyrone Baker (Montserrat)
During the match84′ sending-off, Turks and Caicos Islands (Steven Sessegnon)
During the match90′ last goal, Montserrat

What it changes

In this league, “Montserrat or draw” goes from 81.3% to 81.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes