Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

CONCACAF Nations League · World

full time

Monday, 5 October 2026

Martinique

1–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

El Salvador

What Janus-12 said

72%

Martinique or El Salvador

88% success over 26 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 28 %

A prediction at 72 % fails 28 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Martinique or El Salvador

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/10, 21:48.

Sealed on 05/10, 23:00announced on 01/10/2026, 4 days before kick-off

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Martinique or El Salvador72%lost

What happened

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, El Salvador (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match56′ equaliser, Martinique (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Martinique or El Salvador” goes from 88.5% to 85.2% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Martinique on the left, El Salvador on the right.

First half

Goal · Jefferson valladares (assist : Styven vasquez)3'
Yellow card · josue mauricio saravia cerritos9'
28'Yellow card · Jonathan Varane
Yellow card · Jefferson valladares28'
Yellow card · Christian Martinez28'
Yellow card · Rafael Tejada45'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

49'Yellow card · Boris Moltenis
56'Goal · Janis Antiste (assist : Brighton Labeau)
61'Substitution · Christophe Jougon ⇄ Cyril Mandouki
Substitution · Styven vasquez ⇄ Cristian Gil61'
Substitution · josue mauricio saravia cerritos ⇄ Harold Osorio67'
Yellow card · Herberth diaz70'
74'Substitution · Kevin Appin ⇄ enrick reuperne
74'Substitution · Janis Antiste ⇄ johnny marajo
85'Substitution · Jonathan Varane ⇄ tariq cavelan
Yellow card · Cristian Gil90+3'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Martinique or El Salvador72%lost

What happened

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, El Salvador (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match56′ equaliser, Martinique (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Martinique or El Salvador” goes from 88.5% to 85.2% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes