Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

CONCACAF Nations League · World

full time

Monday, 5 October 2026

Cuba

2–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–1

St. Kitts and Nevis

What Janus-12 said

73%

Cuba or St. Kitts and Nevis

88% success over 25 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Cuba or St. Kitts and Nevis

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/10, 21:48.

Sealed on 05/10, 22:00announced on 01/10/2026, 4 days before kick-off

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cuba or St. Kitts and Nevis73%lost

What happened

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, St. Kitts and Nevis (0-1)
During the match25′ equaliser, Cuba (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match63′ St. Kitts and Nevis retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ equaliser, Cuba (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Cuba or St. Kitts and Nevis” goes from 88% to 84.6% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cuba on the left, St. Kitts and Nevis on the right.

First half

Goal · Tiquanny·Williams (assist : Kyle Kelly)16'
25'Goal · Yunior Perez (assist : Dairon Reyes)
26'Yellow card · michael camejo

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Substitution · yohannes mitchum ⇄ Harry Panayiotou55'
Yellow card · Rico Browne57'
Substitution · omari james sterling ⇄ Savi-K Morton61'
Substitution · Theo Wharton ⇄ nequan browne61'
62'Yellow card · karel mendoza perez
62'Yellow card · Ismel morgado
Penalty goal · Tiquanny·Williams63'
64'Substitution · Luis Paradela ⇄ Daniel Diaz
74'Substitution · michael camejo ⇄ Didier Lorenzo Reinoso Maturell
Substitution · Romaine Sawyers ⇄ Tyreece Simpson80'
85'Substitution · Yunior Perez ⇄ pedro bravo
85'Substitution · karel mendoza perez ⇄ leandro mena
90'Goal · Daniel Diaz

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Cuba or St. Kitts and Nevis73%lost

What happened

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, St. Kitts and Nevis (0-1)
During the match25′ equaliser, Cuba (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match63′ St. Kitts and Nevis retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ equaliser, Cuba (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Cuba or St. Kitts and Nevis” goes from 88% to 84.6% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes