Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

CONCACAF Nations League · World

full time

Monday, 5 October 2026

Aruba

3–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–1

Anguilla

What Janus-12 said

85%

Aruba or draw

85% success over 20 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Aruba or draw

BetPawa
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 05/10, 00:00announced on 01/10/2026, 3 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 20 matches in this league
67%✓

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Aruba or draw85%held
- Aruba took control early: opening goal in the 7th minute.
Aruba to win67%held

What happened

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Aruba (1-0)
During the match39′ equaliser, Anguilla (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match77′ turnaround, Anguilla go ahead (1-2)
Line-up77′ the goal came off the bench: Antonio Fleming (Anguilla)
During the match90′ equaliser, Aruba (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Aruba go ahead (3-2)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Mercera (Aruba)

What it changes

In this league, “Aruba or draw” goes from 85% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Aruba on the left, Anguilla on the right.

First half

7'Goal · Carlito Fermina
Substitution · Tarique Jesse Kyson Jackson ⇄ Antonio Fleming31'
Goal · Nathaniel Owen (assist : Tjivari Francisca Leveret)39'
45'Substitution · Justin Figaroa ⇄ Jaybrien Dicheiro Nafali Romano
45'Substitution · Rainey breinburg ⇄ Kymani Stephen Yunus Nedd

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Antonio Fleming51'
53'Yellow card · Bradley Martis
60'Substitution · Tyrese Gijsbertha ⇄ Gladwin curiel
60'Substitution · Mishawn Edelsjen Molina ⇄ A. Mercera
60'Substitution · Roviën Ostiana ⇄ Gianni Vandepitte
Substitution · J. Lloyd ⇄ Raynel Martin65'
Substitution · Nathaniel Owen ⇄ Jaheim Warren Thompson66'
Substitution · Jauron Shakoy Wayne Gayle ⇄ Caidan Carty66'
Yellow card · K. Connor69'
Goal · Antonio Fleming (assist : Tjivari Francisca Leveret)77'
Substitution · Sedu bradshaw ⇄ Aedon Scipio78'
Yellow card · Carlton Carty88'
90+3'Goal · A. Mercera (assist : Gianni Vandepitte)
90+3'Goal · Justin Peterson

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Aruba or draw85%held
- Aruba took control early: opening goal in the 7th minute.
Aruba to win67%held

What happened

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Aruba (1-0)
During the match39′ equaliser, Anguilla (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match77′ turnaround, Anguilla go ahead (1-2)
Line-up77′ the goal came off the bench: Antonio Fleming (Anguilla)
During the match90′ equaliser, Aruba (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Aruba go ahead (3-2)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Mercera (Aruba)

What it changes

In this league, “Aruba or draw” goes from 85% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes