Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

CONCACAF Nations League · World

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Bahamas

2–3full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 2–1

US Virgin Islands

What Janus-12 said

82%

Bahamas or US Virgin Islands

82% success over 17 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Bahamas or US Virgin Islands

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 21:00announced on 01/10/2026, 3 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 17 matches in this league
55%✓

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bahamas or US Virgin Islands82%held
US Virgin Islands to win55%held
- US Virgin Islands held on with ten men for 45 minutes (sent off in the 45th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- US Virgin Islands took the lead in the 30th minute and never let it go.

What happened

During the match

During the match30′ opening goal, US Virgin Islands (0-1)
During the match35′ US Virgin Islands go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match45′ sending-off, US Virgin Islands (rakeem joseph)
During the match90′ last goal, Bahamas
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Peter julmis (Bahamas)

What it changes

In this league, “Bahamas or US Virgin Islands” goes from 82.4% to 83.3% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Bahamas on the left, US Virgin Islands on the right.

First half

Goal · naqwan henry (assist : Jannick Liburd)30'
Own goal · Omar Chemaly35'
36'Yellow card · Prince Cooper
Red card · rakeem joseph45'

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

46'Substitution · omari bain ⇄ michael massey
46'Substitution · quinton carey ⇄ Peter julmis
Goal · naqwan henry52'
Yellow card · Q.Farrell57'
58'Goal · william bayles
Substitution · Connor Bass ⇄ Zahmyre Harris65'
Substitution · naqwan henry ⇄ Gabriel Catone-Highfield65'
67'Yellow card · Peter julmis
78'Substitution · Lance Carroll ⇄ Re'John Ene
Substitution · Jannick Liburd ⇄ Kaden Royer78'
83'Yellow card · Re'John Ene
Substitution · Christopher Griffith ⇄ Atzeman Aubin90+1'
90+2'Penalty goal · Peter julmis

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bahamas or US Virgin Islands82%held
US Virgin Islands to win55%held
- US Virgin Islands held on with ten men for 45 minutes (sent off in the 45th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- US Virgin Islands took the lead in the 30th minute and never let it go.

What happened

During the match

During the match30′ opening goal, US Virgin Islands (0-1)
During the match35′ US Virgin Islands go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match45′ sending-off, US Virgin Islands (rakeem joseph)
During the match90′ last goal, Bahamas
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Peter julmis (Bahamas)

What it changes

In this league, “Bahamas or US Virgin Islands” goes from 82.4% to 83.3% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes