Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

2. Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Match postponed (2 times)

Brought forward to Sunday 4 October at 11:00. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 12:30.

Change noted on 25/09.

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor

1–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–0

Ankara Demirspor

What Janus-12 said

78%

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor or draw

76% success over 75 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 04:38.

Sealed on 04/10, 11:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 75 matches in this league
88%✓
74% success over 70 matches in this league
65%✗
73% success over 75 matches in this league
71%✗
72% success over 75 matches in this league
65%✓
61% success over 74 matches in this league
71%✓
59% success over 75 matches in this league
74%✓
57% success over 72 matches in this league
54%✓
No goal before the 30th minute48% success over 29 matches, all leagues
52%✓
48% success over 75 matches in this league
51%✓
40% success over 62 matches in this league
54%✓

Lig B: Red Group

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Sakaryaspor	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Adana 01 FK	5	3	1	1	+1	10
4	Yeni Orduspor	5	3	0	2	+6	9
5	24 Erzincanspor	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor	5	2	2	1	0	8
7	Ankaragucu	5	2	1	2	+4	7
8	1461 Trabzon FK	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Ankara Demirspor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Karacabey Belediyespor	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	12 Bingölspor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Serik Spor	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Kırklarelispor	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Fethiyespor	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Kütahyaspor	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	İskenderunspor	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	İnegölspor	4	0	1	3	-5	1

What we announced

9/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor or draw78%held
- Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor took the lead in the 33rd minute and never let it go.
Under 4.5 goals88%held
Draw or Ankara Demirspor ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 33′ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor.
Over 1.5 goals71%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
Under 3.5 goals74%held
One team ahead at half-time54%held
No goal before the 30th minute52%held
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor to win51%held
Under 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

Table Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor 6th, Ankara Demirspor 9th (Lig B: Red Group)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor or draw” goes from 76% to 76.3% success rate, over 76 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

9/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor or draw78%held
- Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor took the lead in the 33rd minute and never let it go.
Under 4.5 goals88%held
Draw or Ankara Demirspor ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 33′ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor.
Over 1.5 goals71%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
Under 3.5 goals74%held
One team ahead at half-time54%held
No goal before the 30th minute52%held
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor to win51%held
Under 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

Table Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor 6th, Ankara Demirspor 9th (Lig B: Red Group)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor or draw” goes from 76% to 76.3% success rate, over 76 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig B: Red Group

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes