Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

2. Lig · Turkey

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 4 October at 17:00. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 15:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Elazığspor

2–3full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–2

Çorluspor 1947

What Janus-12 said

86%

Elazığspor or draw

77% success over 81 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 14 %

A prediction at 86 % fails 14 % of the time: it happened.

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 04/10, 17:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 81 matches in this league
90%✗
75% success over 76 matches in this league
53%✓
74% success over 81 matches in this league
86%✓
72% success over 81 matches in this league
51%✓
72% success over 81 matches in this league
68%✓
72% success over 81 matches in this league
73%✓
61% success over 80 matches in this league
71%✗
59% success over 81 matches in this league
77%✗
56% success over 78 matches in this league
61%✗
48% success over 81 matches in this league
62%✗
42% success over 67 matches in this league
54%✗

Lig B: White Group

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Muş Sport Klübü	5	4	1	0	+8	13
1	Ad. Demirspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aliağa FAŞ	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Elazığspor	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Hatayspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Çorluspor 1947	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Güzide Gebzespor	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Menemen FK	5	3	0	2	0	9
7	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Somaspor	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Isparta 32 Spor	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Şanlıurfaspor	5	1	3	1	0	6
12	Osmanlispor	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Kastamonuspor	5	2	0	3	-9	3
15	Sebat Gençlikspor	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

5/12

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Elazığspor or draw86%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Çorluspor 1947 scored in the 90th minute.
- Elazığspor chased the score almost all match: Çorluspor 1947 scored as early as the 5th minute.
Under 4.5 goals90%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 2nd minute, 5 in total.
Draw or Çorluspor 1947 ahead at half-time53%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 2′ Elazığspor, 5′ Çorluspor 1947.
Elazığspor to score86%held
Çorluspor 1947 to score51%held
At least 1 goal before half-time68%held
Over 1.5 goals73%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%lost
Under 3.5 goals77%lost
One team ahead at half-time61%lost
Elazığspor to win62%lost
Under 2.5 goals54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableElazığspor 3rd, Çorluspor 1947 4th (Lig B: White Group)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Elazığspor (1-0)
During the match5′ equaliser, Çorluspor 1947 (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match77′ turnaround, Çorluspor 1947 go ahead (1-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Çorluspor 1947 go ahead (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Elazığspor or draw” goes from 76.5% to 75.6% success rate, over 82 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

5/12

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Elazığspor or draw86%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Çorluspor 1947 scored in the 90th minute.
- Elazığspor chased the score almost all match: Çorluspor 1947 scored as early as the 5th minute.
Under 4.5 goals90%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 2nd minute, 5 in total.
Draw or Çorluspor 1947 ahead at half-time53%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 2′ Elazığspor, 5′ Çorluspor 1947.
Elazığspor to score86%held
Çorluspor 1947 to score51%held
At least 1 goal before half-time68%held
Over 1.5 goals73%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%lost
Under 3.5 goals77%lost
One team ahead at half-time61%lost
Elazığspor to win62%lost
Under 2.5 goals54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableElazığspor 3rd, Çorluspor 1947 4th (Lig B: White Group)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Elazığspor (1-0)
During the match5′ equaliser, Çorluspor 1947 (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match77′ turnaround, Çorluspor 1947 go ahead (1-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Çorluspor 1947 go ahead (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Elazığspor or draw” goes from 76.5% to 75.6% success rate, over 82 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Lig B: White Group

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes