Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda Liga · Portugal

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Match postponed (2 times)

Moved to Sunday 4 October at 11:00. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 14:00.

Change noted on 18/09.

Farense

4–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 2–0

Chaves

What Janus-12 said

75%

Farense or draw

71% success over 31 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Farense or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 06/09, 14:00announced on 23/08/2026, 41 days before kick-off

Division2

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Farense	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	-2	9
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+1	9
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	AVS	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	-7	1

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Farense or draw75%held
- Farense took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
- Farense took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFarense 4th, Chaves 16th (Division2)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Farense (1-0)
During the match45′ Farense go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match80′ last goal, Farense
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: Derick Poloni (Farense)

What it changes

In this league, “Farense or draw” goes from 71% to 71.9% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Farense on the left, Chaves on the right.

First half

3'Yellow card · Nermin Zolotic
6'Goal · André Candeias (assist : Mattheus de Andrade Gama Oliveira)
45+2'Goal · Gonçalo Silva (assist : André Candeias)

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Marcos André Paulino Maia ⇄ Gabriel Souza da Silva46'
Substitution · Dru Yearwood ⇄ mohamed fofana46'
Substitution · Gilberto García ⇄ Pedro Pelágio46'
49'Goal · Claudio Falcão (assist : André Candeias)
Yellow card · Tomás Morais Costa58'
Substitution · Tomás Morais Costa ⇄ Roberto59'
Substitution · Andre Rodrigues ⇄ João Teixeira59'
60'Substitution · Nermin Zolotic ⇄ Rodrigo Borges
60'Substitution · Nelson Oliveira ⇄ Gabriel Barbosa
67'Substitution · Joao·Resende ⇄ Derick Poloni
67'Substitution · Mattheus de Andrade Gama Oliveira ⇄ Joseph N'Duquidi
Yellow card · mohamed fofana71'
80'Goal · Derick Poloni (assist : Sarpreet Singh)
82'Substitution · Sarpreet Singh ⇄ Rafael Teixeira

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Farense or draw75%held
- Farense took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
- Farense took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFarense 4th, Chaves 16th (Division2)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Farense (1-0)
During the match45′ Farense go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match80′ last goal, Farense
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: Derick Poloni (Farense)

What it changes

In this league, “Farense or draw” goes from 71% to 71.9% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Division2

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes