Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División Femenina · Spain

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 4 October at 18:30. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 16:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Valencia W

0–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–0

Real Sociedad W

What Janus-12 said

85%

Under 4.5 goals

78% success over 46 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 18:30announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 35 matches in this league
84%✓
76% success over 46 matches in this league
84%✓
68% success over 41 matches in this league
68%✓
67% success over 43 matches in this league
65%✓
63% success over 46 matches in this league
78%✗
52% success over 46 matches in this league
60%✓
50% success over 30 matches in this league
56%✗

Superliga Women

as of 31/08, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	L	Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona W	1	1	0	+5	3
2	Athletic Club W	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Madrid CFF W	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Edf Logrono W	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Deportivo Alavés W	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Real Madrid W	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Eibar W	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Sevilla W	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Atletico Madrid W	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Espanyol W	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Deportivo de La Coruña W	1	0	1	-1	0
12	FC Levante Badalona W	1	0	1	-2	0
13	Granada	1	0	1	-2	0
14	Real Sociedad W	1	0	1	-2	0
15	Valencia W	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Granad. Tenerife W	1	0	1	-5	0

What we announced

6/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals85%held
Draw or Real Sociedad W ahead at half-time84%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 23′ Real Sociedad W.
Draw or Real Sociedad W84%held
- Real Sociedad W took the lead in the 23rd minute and never let it go.
- Real Sociedad W took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.
Under 3.5 goals68%held
At most 1 goal before half-time65%held
Over 1.5 goals78%lost
Real Sociedad W to win60%held
Over 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableValencia W 15th, Real Sociedad W 14th (Superliga Women)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Real Sociedad W (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 78.3% to 78.7% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Valencia W on the left, Real Sociedad W on the right.

First half

Goal · N. Eizaguirre (assist : I. Eguiguren)23'
40'Yellow card · L. Moral
45+6'Yellow card · R. Elloh

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

57'Substitution · L. Moral ⇄ T. Morato
57'Substitution · C. Marin ⇄ A. Mbadi
Yellow card · N. Aparicio59'
Substitution · C. Marcos ⇄ A. Aparicio61'
65'Yellow card · S. Tamarit
72'Substitution · R. Elloh ⇄ D. Marcano
72'Substitution · M. Mascarell ⇄ N. Marchena
73'Yellow card · Pauleta
73'Yellow card · C. Saez
Substitution · A. Campo ⇄ Maren73'
Substitution · A. Marin Martin ⇄ A. Seelenfreund73'
Substitution · N. Eizaguirre ⇄ E. Laborde74'
Yellow card · I. Eguiguren79'
82'Substitution · G. Flordelis ⇄ Y. K. Mrabet

What we announced

6/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals85%held
Draw or Real Sociedad W ahead at half-time84%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 23′ Real Sociedad W.
Draw or Real Sociedad W84%held
- Real Sociedad W took the lead in the 23rd minute and never let it go.
- Real Sociedad W took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.
Under 3.5 goals68%held
At most 1 goal before half-time65%held
Over 1.5 goals78%lost
Real Sociedad W to win60%held
Over 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableValencia W 15th, Real Sociedad W 14th (Superliga Women)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Real Sociedad W (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 78.3% to 78.7% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Superliga Women

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes