Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 4 October at 17:30. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 16:00.

Change noted on 24/09.

Castellon

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Ceuta

What Janus-12 said

81%

Under 4.5 goals

85% success over 79 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 04/10, 17:30announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 78 matches in this league
91%✓
75% success over 79 matches in this league
78%✓
68% success over 79 matches in this league
61%✓
44% success over 79 matches in this league
76%✗
0% success over 1 match in this league
62%✗

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals81%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Castellon or draw91%held
- Castellon took control early: opening goal in the 2nd minute.
- Castellon were never behind.
Over 1.5 goals78%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 2nd minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals61%held
Castellon to win76%lost
Over 2.5 goals62%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCastellon 2nd, Ceuta 21st (Segunda)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Castellon (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match53′ equaliser, Ceuta (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 84.8% to 85% success rate, over 80 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Castellon on the left, Ceuta on the right.

First half

2'Goal · Israel Suero Fernández (assist : Álvaro García Arana)
Yellow card · Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro6'
Substitution · Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro ⇄ Marino Illesca45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Carlos Hernández49'
Goal · Jordi Escobar (assist : Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez)53'
55'Yellow card · Alberto Jiménez
63'Substitution · Federico Ceccherini ⇄ Lucas Alcázar
63'Substitution · Íñigo Córdoba ⇄ antonio gala
Substitution · Kialy Abdoul Kone ⇄ Edgar Sevikyan69'
Substitution · Kuki Zalazar ⇄ Omar Sadik77'
Substitution · Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez ⇄ Alejandro Meléndez77'
79'Substitution · Alvaro Martin ⇄ Hamza Bellari
Yellow card · José Matos84'
Substitution · Alejandro Camacho Ramírez ⇄ Alexander Petxarroman Eizagirre85'
86'Substitution · Pablo Santiago ⇄ Raúl Sánchez
86'Substitution · Álvaro García Arana ⇄ David Muale Nzanza

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals81%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Castellon or draw91%held
- Castellon took control early: opening goal in the 2nd minute.
- Castellon were never behind.
Over 1.5 goals78%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 2nd minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals61%held
Castellon to win76%lost
Over 2.5 goals62%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCastellon 2nd, Ceuta 21st (Segunda)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Castellon (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match53′ equaliser, Ceuta (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 84.8% to 85% success rate, over 80 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,492 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes