Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera A · Colombia

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Tuesday 6 October at 01:00. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 02:15.

Change noted on 03/10.

Independiente Medellin

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Santa Fe

What Janus-12 said

74%

Independiente Medellin or draw

82% success over 79 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Independiente Medellin or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/10, 23:30.

Sealed on 06/10, 01:00announced on 20/09/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 41 matches in this league
67%✓
67% success over 39 matches in this league
64%✗
66% success over 38 matches in this league
63%✓

Clausura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	America de Cali	12	8	3	1	+17	27
2	Deportivo Cali	12	7	3	2	+11	24
3	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	+10	23
4	Atletico Nacional	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Millonarios	13	5	6	2	+7	21
7	Independiente Medellin	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Deportes Tolima	12	5	4	3	+2	19
9	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	-4	15
10	Llaneros	12	4	2	6	-1	14
11	Águilas Doradas	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Once Caldas	12	3	4	5	-1	13
13	Internacional de Bogota	13	2	7	4	-4	13
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Alianza Valledupar	12	3	2	7	-12	11
16	Fortaleza FC	12	1	7	4	-5	10
17	Junior	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Deportivo Pasto	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Deportivo Pereira	11	1	5	5	-10	8
20	Jaguares	11	1	4	6	-9	7

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Independiente Medellin or draw74%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Santa Fe scored in the 87th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Independiente Medellin had 20 shots against 16, for 0 goal against 1.
Over 7.5 corners67%held
- 12 corners in total, with 60% possession for Independiente Medellin.
Under 6.5 yellow cards64%lost
- 9 yellow cards for 24 fouls given.
Over 4.5 yellow cards63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIndependiente Medellin 7th, Santa Fe 5th (Clausura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match87′ opening goal, Santa Fe (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Independiente Medellin or draw” goes from 82.3% to 81.3% success rate, over 80 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Independiente Medellin on the left, Santa Fe on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Alexis Zapata30'
Yellow card · Pablo Eduardo Repetto Aquino35'
38'Yellow card · Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
43'Yellow card · Agustín Martegani
45'Substitution · Baldomero Perlaza ⇄ Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz
45'Substitution · Keiner David Klinger Vasquez ⇄ Frank Fabra

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Jader Obrian48'
Yellow card · Emanuel Olivera52'
58'Yellow card · Luis Escorcia
Substitution · Alexis Zapata ⇄ Maximiliano Lovera67'
70'Substitution · Yony González ⇄ Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
Yellow card · Daniel Torres73'
Substitution · Franco Fagúndez ⇄ Hugo Rodallega76'
Substitution · Daniel Torres ⇄ Kilian Toscano76'
Goal · Victor Moreno (assist : Maximiliano Lovera)87'
88'Substitution · John Montano ⇄ Nivaldo Erazo
90+1'Yellow card · Didier Moreno
90+1'Yellow card · Alfonso Simarra Valdez
Substitution · Nahuel Bustos ⇄ Iván Scarpeta90+3'
Substitution · Jhojan Torres ⇄ Ewil Murillo90+4'

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Independiente Medellin or draw74%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Santa Fe scored in the 87th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Independiente Medellin had 20 shots against 16, for 0 goal against 1.
Over 7.5 corners67%held
- 12 corners in total, with 60% possession for Independiente Medellin.
Under 6.5 yellow cards64%lost
- 9 yellow cards for 24 fouls given.
Over 4.5 yellow cards63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIndependiente Medellin 7th, Santa Fe 5th (Clausura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match87′ opening goal, Santa Fe (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Independiente Medellin or draw” goes from 82.3% to 81.3% success rate, over 80 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes