Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera A · Colombia

full time

Monday, 5 October 2026

Bucaramanga

3–1full timeHT 3–1 · 2H 0–0

Junior

What Janus-12 said

78%

Bucaramanga or draw

81% success over 75 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Bucaramanga or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 22:00.

Sealed on 05/10, 00:10announced on 21/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

73% success over 37 matches in this league
65%✓
68% success over 34 matches in this league
70%✗
66% success over 35 matches in this league
61%✓

Clausura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	America de Cali	12	8	3	1	+17	27
2	Deportivo Cali	12	7	3	2	+11	24
3	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	+10	23
4	Atletico Nacional	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Millonarios	13	5	6	2	+7	21
7	Independiente Medellin	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Deportes Tolima	12	5	4	3	+2	19
9	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	-4	15
10	Llaneros	12	4	2	6	-1	14
11	Águilas Doradas	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Once Caldas	12	3	4	5	-1	13
13	Internacional de Bogota	13	2	7	4	-4	13
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Alianza Valledupar	12	3	2	7	-12	11
16	Fortaleza FC	12	1	7	4	-5	10
17	Junior	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Deportivo Pasto	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Deportivo Pereira	11	1	5	5	-10	8
20	Jaguares	11	1	4	6	-9	7

What we announced

3/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bucaramanga or draw78%held
- Bucaramanga held on with ten men for 68 minutes (sent off in the 22nd minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Bucaramanga took the lead in the 33rd minute and never let it go.
Over 7.5 corners65%held
- 9 corners in total, with 42% possession for Bucaramanga.
Over 4.5 yellow cards70%lost
- 3 yellow cards for 15 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 22nd minute.
Under 6.5 yellow cards61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBucaramanga 3rd, Junior 17th (Clausura)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Bucaramanga (1-0)
During the match22′ sending-off, Bucaramanga (José Daniel García Aragón)
During the match25′ equaliser, Junior (1-1)
During the match33′ Bucaramanga retake the lead (2-1)
During the match37′ Bucaramanga go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1

What it changes

In this league, “Bucaramanga or draw” goes from 81.3% to 81.6% success rate, over 76 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Bucaramanga on the left, Junior on the right.

First half

7'Own goal · Pablo Ortíz
22'Red card · José Daniel García Aragón
Penalty goal · Luis Muriel25'
33'Goal · Fredy Hinestroza (assist : Luciano Pons)
37'Goal · Emerson Batalla (assist : Fredy Hinestroza)
Yellow card · Pablo Ortíz43'
Substitution · Daniel Rivera ⇄ Daniel Socarras45'

Half-time3 – 1

Second half

61'Yellow card · Fabián Sambueza
Missed penalty · Luis Muriel64'
64'Yellow card · Emerson Batalla
Substitution · Fabian Bernal ⇄ Harold Rivera66'
Substitution · Jesús Rivas ⇄ Kevin Pérez66'
Substitution · Déiber Caicedo ⇄ Bryan Castrillón66'
74'Substitution · Fredy Hinestroza ⇄ Aldair Gutiérrez
74'Substitution · Fabián Sambueza ⇄ Omar Albornoz
Substitution · Guillermo Celis ⇄ Guillermo Paiva81'
84'Substitution · Luciano Pons ⇄ Brandon·Caicedo
85'Substitution · Emerson Batalla ⇄ Leonardo Flores
85'Substitution · Nilson Castrillón ⇄ Adrián Murillo

What we announced

3/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bucaramanga or draw78%held
- Bucaramanga held on with ten men for 68 minutes (sent off in the 22nd minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Bucaramanga took the lead in the 33rd minute and never let it go.
Over 7.5 corners65%held
- 9 corners in total, with 42% possession for Bucaramanga.
Over 4.5 yellow cards70%lost
- 3 yellow cards for 15 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 22nd minute.
Under 6.5 yellow cards61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBucaramanga 3rd, Junior 17th (Clausura)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Bucaramanga (1-0)
During the match22′ sending-off, Bucaramanga (José Daniel García Aragón)
During the match25′ equaliser, Junior (1-1)
During the match33′ Bucaramanga retake the lead (2-1)
During the match37′ Bucaramanga go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1

What it changes

In this league, “Bucaramanga or draw” goes from 81.3% to 81.6% success rate, over 76 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,587 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes