Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Estonia

0–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–0

Iceland

What Janus-12 said

80%

Draw or Iceland

83% success over 42 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Iceland

1xBet
BetPawa
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/10, 23:30.

Sealed on 06/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 5 days before kick-off

League C - Group D

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Iceland	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Estonia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Luxembourg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
4	Bulgaria	3	0	1	2	-4	1

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Iceland80%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEstonia 2nd, Iceland 1st (League C - Group D)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Iceland” goes from 83.3% to 83.7% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Estonia on the left, Iceland on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Daniel Leo Gretarsson25'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

61'Substitution · Joseph Saliste ⇄ Michael Schjonning-Larsen
61'Substitution · Mattias Männilaan ⇄ karel mustmaa
61'Substitution · Kevor Palumets ⇄ Mattias Käit
Substitution · Hörður Magnússon ⇄ Logi Tomasson67'
Substitution · Gylfi Sigurðsson ⇄ Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson67'
68'Substitution · Patrik Kristal ⇄ Maximilian skvortsov
84'Yellow card · Michael Schjonning-Larsen

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Iceland80%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEstonia 2nd, Iceland 1st (League C - Group D)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Iceland” goes from 83.3% to 83.7% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League C - Group D

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes