Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Albania

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

San Marino

What Janus-12 said

97%

Albania or draw

83% success over 42 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Albania or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/10, 23:30.

Sealed on 06/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 5 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

52% success over 42 matches in this league
90%✓

League C - Group A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Finland	3	2	1	0	+8	7
2	Albania	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Belarus	3	1	1	1	+2	4
4	San Marino	3	0	0	3	-14	0

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Albania or draw97%held
- Albania took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
- Albania took control early: opening goal in the 11th minute.
Albania to win90%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlbania 2nd, San Marino 4th (League C - Group A)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Albania (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match66′ equaliser, San Marino (1-1)
During the match90′ Albania retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Albania or draw” goes from 83.3% to 83.7% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Albania on the left, San Marino on the right.

First half

11'Goal · Kristjan Asllani
Yellow card · F. Fabbri38'
45'Substitution · Ernest Muci ⇄ Anis·Mehmeti

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Michele Cevoli51'
56'Substitution · Arber Hoxha ⇄ Myrto Uzuni
Substitution · Fausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz ⇄ Samuel·Pancotti58'
Substitution · C. Meloni ⇄ Lorenzo Lazzari58'
Substitution · Michele Cevoli ⇄ giacomo benvenuti59'
Substitution · Dante Rossi ⇄ Marco pasolini64'
Goal · Lorenzo Lazzari (assist : Lorenzo·Capicchioni)66'
71'Substitution · Juljan Shehu ⇄ Mirlind Daku
71'Substitution · Mario Mitaj ⇄ Ylber Ramadani
Yellow card · S. Giocondi76'
Yellow card · Nicholas Giacopetti84'
Substitution · Lorenzo·Capicchioni ⇄ G. Bugli86'
90'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Ardian Ismajli
90+2'Yellow card · Ardian Ismajli
90+3'Penalty goal · Kristjan Asllani

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Albania or draw97%held
- Albania took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
- Albania took control early: opening goal in the 11th minute.
Albania to win90%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlbania 2nd, San Marino 4th (League C - Group A)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Albania (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match66′ equaliser, San Marino (1-1)
During the match90′ Albania retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Albania or draw” goes from 83.3% to 83.7% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,806 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League C - Group A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes