Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Tuesday, 6 October 2026

Kazakhstan

2–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–1

Faroe Islands

What Janus-12 said

73%

Draw or Faroe Islands

83% success over 41 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Faroe Islands

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/10, 23:30.

Sealed on 06/10, 15:00announced on 01/10/2026, 4 days before kick-off

League C - Group C

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Slovakia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Moldova	3	1	1	1	-1	4
3	Faroe Islands	3	0	3	0	0	3
4	Kazakhstan	3	0	1	2	-2	1

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Faroe Islands73%held
- Faroe Islands held on with ten men for 25 minutes (sent off in the 65th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Kazakhstan played 5 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 85th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKazakhstan 4th, Faroe Islands 3rd (League C - Group C)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Faroe Islands (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match63′ Faroe Islands go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match65′ sending-off, Faroe Islands (Martin Agnarsson)
During the match76′ Kazakhstan come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match85′ sending-off, Kazakhstan (Sergey Malyy)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Faroe Islands” goes from 82.9% to 83.3% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,788 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Kazakhstan on the left, Faroe Islands on the right.

First half

Goal · Petur Knudsen (assist : Jóannes Bjartalíð)22'
38'Yellow card · Maksim Samorodov
45'Substitution · stanislav basmanov ⇄ Yan Vorogovskiy
45'Substitution · Ramazan·Karimov ⇄ Artur Shushenachev

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Martin Agnarsson52'
Yellow card · Heini Vatnsdal52'
Substitution · Heini Vatnsdal ⇄ Samuel Chukwudi53'
Goal · Géza Dávid Turi63'
Red card · Martin Agnarsson65'
68'Goal · Sergey Malyy
Substitution · Petur Knudsen ⇄ Viljormur Davidsen69'
73'Substitution · Nauryzbek Zhagorov ⇄ Zhasulan Amir
73'Substitution · Georgiy Zhukov ⇄ Ismail Bekbolat
76'Goal · Nuraly Alip (assist : Maksim Samorodov)
Substitution · hanus Sorensen ⇄ Mattias Hellisdal82'
Substitution · Áki Samuelsen ⇄ Poul Kallsberg82'
85'Red card · Sergey Malyy
87'Substitution · Bauyrzhan Islamkhan ⇄ Elkhan Astanov

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Faroe Islands73%held
- Faroe Islands held on with ten men for 25 minutes (sent off in the 65th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- Kazakhstan played 5 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 85th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKazakhstan 4th, Faroe Islands 3rd (League C - Group C)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Faroe Islands (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match63′ Faroe Islands go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match65′ sending-off, Faroe Islands (Martin Agnarsson)
During the match76′ Kazakhstan come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match85′ sending-off, Kazakhstan (Sergey Malyy)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Faroe Islands” goes from 82.9% to 83.3% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,788 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League C - Group C

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes