Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Monday, 5 October 2026

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Poland

What Janus-12 said

72%

Bosnia & Herzegovina or Poland

82% success over 34 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Bosnia & Herzegovina or Poland

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/10, 20:00.

Sealed on 05/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 4 days before kick-off

League B - Group D

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Sweden	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Poland	4	1	1	2	+3	4
4	Romania	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bosnia & Herzegovina or Poland72%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBosnia & Herzegovina 2nd, Poland 3rd (League B - Group D)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match84′ opening goal, Bosnia & Herzegovina (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Bosnia & Herzegovina or Poland” goes from 82.4% to 82.9% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Bosnia & Herzegovina on the left, Poland on the right.

First half

32'Yellow card · Armin Gigovic
Yellow card · Nicola Zalewski38'
42'Yellow card · Ermedin Demirović

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Matty Cash ⇄ Norbert Wojtuszek63'
Substitution · Karol Świderski ⇄ Marcel Regula63'
63'Substitution · Zinedin Smajlovic ⇄ Esmir Bajraktarević
63'Substitution · Ermin Mahmić ⇄ Benjamin Tahirovic
76'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Ermedin Demirović
76'Yellow card · Nikola Katić
78'Substitution · Haris Tabaković ⇄ Samed Baždar
78'Substitution · Ermedin Demirović ⇄ Jovo Lukić
83'VAR: Penalty cancelled · Jovo Lukić
Yellow card · Jan Bednarek83'
84'Penalty goal · Ivan Bašić
Substitution · Wiktor Nowak ⇄ Kacper Urbanski89'
Substitution · Mateusz Zukowski ⇄ Oskar Pietuszewski89'
89'Substitution · Armin Gigovic ⇄ Stjepan Radeljić
Yellow card · Norbert Wojtuszek90+1'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bosnia & Herzegovina or Poland72%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBosnia & Herzegovina 2nd, Poland 3rd (League B - Group D)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match84′ opening goal, Bosnia & Herzegovina (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Bosnia & Herzegovina or Poland” goes from 82.4% to 82.9% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League B - Group D

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes