Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

UEFA Nations League · World

full time

Monday, 5 October 2026

Northern Ireland

0–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–0

Georgia

What Janus-12 said

78%

Northern Ireland or draw

82% success over 34 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Northern Ireland or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/10, 20:00.

Sealed on 05/10, 19:45announced on 01/10/2026, 4 days before kick-off

League B - Group B

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Northern Ireland	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Hungary	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Ukraine	4	1	1	2	-3	4
4	Georgia	4	0	2	2	-2	2

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Northern Ireland or draw78%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Northern Ireland against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNorthern Ireland 1st, Georgia 4th (League B - Group B)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Northern Ireland or draw” goes from 82.4% to 82.9% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Northern Ireland on the left, Georgia on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Giorgi Kochorashvili18'
Substitution · Giorgi Kochorashvili ⇄ Georgiy Tsitaishvili45'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

65'Substitution · Ethan Galbraith ⇄ Brodie Spencer
Substitution · Zuriko Davitashvili ⇄ Giorgi Chakvetadze65'
Substitution · Anzor Mekvabishvili ⇄ Nodar Lominadze65'
Substitution · Gizo Mamageishvili ⇄ Irakli Yegoian74'
74'Substitution · Jamie Donley ⇄ Josh Magennis
74'Substitution · Patrick Kelly ⇄ Kieran Morrison
82'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Ruairi McConville
Yellow card · Nodar Lominadze83'
84'Missed penalty · Isaac Price
Yellow card · Irakli Yegoian86'
Substitution · Budu Zivzivadze ⇄ Georges Mikautadze86'
86'Substitution · Tom Atcheson ⇄ Paddy McNair
86'Substitution · Isaac Price ⇄ Callum Marshall
Yellow card · Georgiy Tsitaishvili89'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Northern Ireland or draw78%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Northern Ireland against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNorthern Ireland 1st, Georgia 4th (League B - Group B)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Northern Ireland or draw” goes from 82.4% to 82.9% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,745 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League B - Group B

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes